Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: ATSW/RTNW

Odds/Point Spread: Astros (-174) Mariners (+160)

Tim Lopes and the Seattle Mariners (23-30, 3rd in AL West) host the Houston Astros (27-26, 2nd in AL West) at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Astros priced at -174 and the Mariners are at +160. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Framber Valdez and Ljay Newsome.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/19/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Justin Verlander SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2020 Brad Peacock RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/16/2020 Chris Devenski RP Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/4/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/20/2020 Sam Haggerty LF Forearm Out for the season
9/19/2020 Tom Murphy C Foot Out for the season
9/18/2020 Shed Long 2B Lower Leg Out for the season
9/1/2020 Mitch Haniger RF Back Out for the season
9/1/2020 Gerson Bautista RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2020 Matt Magill RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/31/2020 Nestor Cortes RP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Carl Edwards RP Forearm Out for the season
8/27/2020 Taylor Guilbeau RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 27-26 overall record this season. Valdez (12-11 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.19 and he has faced 744 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.31 (82 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.391. He has given up 154 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 84 walks. Valdez has taken the hill for 171 innings and has accounted for 170 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 182 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 201 hitters and walked 109 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 414 base hits and 224 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 200 batters and struck out 456. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .238, good for 20th in the league. The Astros hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 31 hits this season in 126 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .429 and an OPS+ of 113. Michael Brantley is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 147 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .483. The Astros have 415 hits, including 94 doubles and 59 home runs. Houston has walked 167 times so far this season and they have struck out 391 times as a unit. They have left 326 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 249 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 23-30 overall mark this year. Newsome (0-1 win-loss record) holds a 6.49 earned run average while allowing 13.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 and he has faced 50 hitters thus far in his career. Newsome has allowed 16 hits while he has earned 8 K's in 11 frames. He has allowed a total of 8 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.532 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.90 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 177 batters and walked 104 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.28. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 423 base knocks and 268 earned runs this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 202 hitters and struck out 426 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.95.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Tim Lopes comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .299. He has 31 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 120 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .375 with an OPS+ of 89. Kyle Lewis is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 52 hits in 186 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .473. The Mariners as a unit have 386 base hits, including 79 doubles and 55 homers. Seattle has walked 191 times this year and they have struck out on 476 occasions. They have had 336 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 224 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-174)

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