Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, August 21, 2020

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: ATSW/FSSD

Odds/Point Spread: Astros (+111) Padres (-121)

Josh Reddick and the Houston Astros (14-10, 2nd in AL West) travel to Petco Park on Friday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (14-12, 3rd in NL West). The odds on this game have the Astros priced at +111 and the Padres are at -121. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Lance McCullers Jr and Cal Quantrill.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

8/20/2020 Alex Bregman 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Out for the season
8/18/2020 Chris Devenski RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/16/2020 Jose Urquidy SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/16/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/15/2020 Michael Brantley DH Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/15/2020 Aledmys Diaz DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/12/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/8/2020 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/7/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
7/26/2020 Justin Verlander SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/17/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Tommy Pham LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/17/2020 Francisco Mejia C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/8/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Out for the season
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 14-10 overall record this season. McCullers (31-23 career record) has a FIP of 3.35 while he has gone up against 2,022 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.77 (201 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.271. He has conceded 422 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 188 free passes. McCullers has taken the ball for 480 frames and has accounted for 532 K's thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the bullpen and they've struck out 100 hitters and walked 57 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.43. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 185 base hits and 86 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 104 batters and struck out 214. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Josh Reddick is hitting .265 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 22 hits this season in 83 at bats with 7 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .410 and an OPS+ of 101. Carlos Correa is hitting .321 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .406. He has totaled 27 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 84 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Astros have 206 hits, including 46 doubles and 29 home runs. Houston has walked 93 times so far this season and they have struck out 185 times as a unit. They have left 167 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 126 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 14-12 overall mark this year. Thus far in his career, Quantrill has allowed 118 base knocks while he has totaled 102 strikeouts in 116 innings pitched. He has allowed 63 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.19 and he has faced 498 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Quantrill (8-8 career record) is the owner of a 4.89 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 95 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 205 base knocks and 113 earned runs this season. They have given up 35 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 217 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 17th in the league. The Padres hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .222 with an OBP of .325. He has 22 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 99 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 114. Eric Hosmer is hitting .231 this season and he has an OBP of .286. He has collected 12 hits in 52 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Padres as a unit have 204 base hits, including 37 doubles and 45 homers. San Diego has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out on 224 occasions. They have had 157 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 5.12 runs per game and totaled 133 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (+111)

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