Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FSN/FSDT

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+270) Twins (-305)

Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (22-30, 4th in AL Central) are headed to Target Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (33-22, 2nd in AL Central). The odds on this contest have the Tigers priced at +270 and the Twins are at -305. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Casey Mize and Kenta Maeda.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/22/2020 Jonathan Schoop 2B Wrist Out for the season
9/21/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/11/2020 JaCoby Jones CF Hand Out for the season
9/9/2020 Ivan Nova SP Triceps Out for the season
8/27/2020 Alex Faedo SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 Dario Agrazal SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 C.J 1B Knee Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/20/2020 Nelson Cruz DH Knee Probable for Sep 22
9/20/2020 Luis Arraez 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/18/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/13/2020 Brent Rooker RF Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 22-30 overall record this season. Mize (0-2 win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 6.04 while he has faced 111 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.21 (16 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.509. He has given up 24 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 11 free passes. Mize has taken the mound for 23 frames and has earned 22 K's thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 80 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.71. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 464 base hits and 280 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 399. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.13.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .242, good for 17th in the league. The Tigers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .232 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 42 hits this season in 181 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .370 and an OPS+ of 89. Jeimer Candelario is hitting .307 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 54 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 176 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .523. The Tigers have 408 hits, including 72 doubles and 58 home runs. Detroit has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 510 times as a unit. They have left 297 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 225 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Maeda (52-36 career record) has a 3.74 ERA while giving up 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.79 and he has gone up against 2,654 batters so far in his career. During his pro baseball career, Maeda has allowed 536 base hits while he has totaled 712 punchouts in 649 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 270 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.115 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 247 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 404 base knocks and 182 earned runs this season. They have given up 57 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 153 hitters and struck out 489 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 16th in the league. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .219 with an OBP of .312. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 151 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 101. Miguel Sano is hitting .212 this season and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 36 hits in 170 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .512. The Twins as a unit have 429 base hits, including 69 doubles and 85 homers. Minnesota has walked 172 times this year and they have struck out on 477 occasions. They have had 342 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 245 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+270)

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