Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/25/2020

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, July 25, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSDT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+170) Reds (-200)

Great American Ball Park is the site of the matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The probable starting pitchers are Ivan Nova for the Tigers and Luis Castillo for the Reds.

Detroit opens at +170 while Cincinnati opens at -200. The Tigers had a 70-80-11 over/under record and a 47-114-0 run line mark last year. The Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line and had a 61-93-8 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 70-80-11 against the over/under last season

The Detroit Tigers were 47-114-0 against the run line last year

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds were 61-93-8 against the over/under last season

The Cincinnati Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line last year

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

7/23/2020 Daz Cameron CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/23/2020 Derek Hill CF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/21/2020 Daniel Norris SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/18/2020 Jordan Zimmermann SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/3/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/24/2020 Joel Kuhnel RP Shoulder Probable for Jul 24
7/23/2020 Anthony DeSclafani SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/19/2020 Michael Lorenzen RP Forearm Probable for Jul 24

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers had a 47-114 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova had a 11-12 record with an earned run average of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.46. He had 114 strikeouts over his 187 innings pitched and he gave up 225 hits. He allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.98. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.94 and they gave up 657 base hits on the year. Teams hit .260 against the bullpen and they struck out 613 hitters while walking 294 batters. As a team, Detroit allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,555 base hits and 835 earned runs last year. They allowed 250 home runs last season, ranking them 6th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 536 batters and struck out 1,368. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit hit .240, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers held a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. C.J. Cron hit .253 with an on-base percentage of .311 last year. He had 116 hits last season in 458 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .469 and an OPS+ of 103. Niko Goodrum hit .248 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .322. He totaled 105 hits and he drove in 45 men in 423 at bats. His OPS+ was 94 while his slugging percentage was at .421. The Tigers had 1,333 hits last season, including 292 doubles and 149 home runs. Detroit walked 391 times last year and they struck out 1,595 times as a unit. They left 1,069 men on base and had a team OPS of .682. They scored 3.61 runs per contest and scored a total of 582 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati had a 75-87 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.40, Luis Castillo had a 15-8 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He had 226 strikeouts over the 190.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 139 hits. He allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.7. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.28 and they gave up 488 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers struck out 600 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team surrendered 1,270 base knocks and 668 earned runs last season. They gave up 214 home runs last year, which ranked 20th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,552 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.26 while their FIP as a staff was 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds held a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which was good for 22nd in baseball. They ranked 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup after batting .261 with an OBP of .357 last season. He had 137 hits last year along with 47 RBI in 525 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .411 with an OPS+ of 98. Eugenio Suarez hit .271 last season and he had an OBP of .358. He collected 156 hits in 575 at bats while driving in 103 runs. He had an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .572. The Reds as a unit had 1,328 base hits last season, including 235 doubles and 227 homers. Cincinnati walked 492 times last year and they struck out on 1,436 occasions. They left 1,073 men on base and had an OPS of .736. They scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 701 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (-200)

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