Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/24/2020

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 24, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSDT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+185) Reds (-200)

The Detroit Tigers visit Great American Ball Park on Friday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Matthew Boyd for the Tigers and Sonny Gray for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +185 and Cincinnati at -200. The Tigers had a 70-80-11 over/under record and a 47-114-0 run line mark last season. The Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line and had a 61-93-8 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 70-80-11 against the over/under last year

The Detroit Tigers were 47-114-0 against the run line last season

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds were 61-93-8 against the over/under last year

The Cincinnati Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line last season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

7/21/2020 Daniel Norris SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/19/2020 Derek Hill CF Knee Questionable for start of season
7/18/2020 Jordan Zimmermann SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/10/2020 Daz Cameron CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/10/2020 Tarik Skubal SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/8/2020 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/3/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/20/2020 Nick Castellanos RF Back Questionable for start of season
7/19/2020 Michael Lorenzen RP Forearm Questionable for start of season
6/24/2020 Joel Kuhnel RP Shoulder Questionable for start of season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers had a 47-114 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd had a 9-12 record with an earned run average of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.23. He had 238 strikeouts over his 185.1 innings pitched and he gave up 178 hits. He allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.94 and they gave up 657 base hits on the year. Teams hit .260 against the bullpen while striking out 613 hitters and walking 294 batters. As a team, Detroit allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,555 base hits and 835 earned runs last year. They allowed 250 home runs last season, ranking them 6th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 536 batters and struck out 1,368. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 4.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit hit .240, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers held a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Niko Goodrum hit .248 with an on-base percentage of .322 last year. He had 105 hits last season in 423 at bats with 45 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 94. C.J. Cron hit .253 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .311. He totaled 116 hits and he drove in 78 men in 458 at bats. His OPS+ was 103 while his slugging percentage was at .469. The Tigers had 1,333 hits last season, including 292 doubles and 149 home runs. Detroit walked 391 times last year and they struck out 1,595 times as a unit. They left 1,069 men on base and had a team OPS of .682. They scored 3.61 runs per contest and scored a total of 582 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati had a 75-87 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 2.87, Sonny Gray had a 11-8 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He had 205 strikeouts over the 175.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 122 hits. He allowed 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.42. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.28 and they gave up 488 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers struck out 600 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team surrendered 1,270 base knocks and 668 earned runs last season. They gave up 214 home runs last year, which ranked 20th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,552 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.26 while their FIP as a staff was 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds held a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which was good for 22nd in baseball. They ranked 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup after batting .271 with an OBP of .358 last season. He had 156 hits last year along with 103 RBI in 575 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .572 with an OPS+ of 134. Joey Votto hit .261 last season and he had an OBP of .357. He collected 137 hits in 525 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He had an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Reds as a unit had 1,328 base hits last season, including 235 doubles and 227 homers. Cincinnati walked 492 times last year and they struck out on 1,436 occasions. They left 1,073 men on base and had an OPS of .736. They scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 701 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+185)

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