Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/9/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2020
Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA
TV: ATRM/FSSD
Odds/Point Spread: Rockies (+170) Padres (-200)
Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (26-17, 2nd in NL West) play the Colorado Rockies (20-21, 4th in NL West) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The Padres open this matchup at -200 while the Rockies are priced at +170. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Antonio Senzatela and Zach Davies.
Key Colorado Rockies Injuries
9/7/2020 David Dahl CF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/6/2020 Jon Gray SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/5/2020 Wade Davis RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Brendan Rodgers 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/1/2020 Chris Owings 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/25/2020 Joe Harvey RP Elbow Out for the season
8/2/2020 Scott Oberg RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
7/23/2020 Peter Lambert SP Elbow Out for the season
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
9/7/2020 Eric Hosmer 1B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/7/2020 Luis Campusano DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2020 Francisco Mejia C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/4/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/4/2020 Luis Perdomo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/4/2020 Austin Adams RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/2/2020 Emilio Pagan RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/30/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Out for the season
8/28/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/17/2020 Tommy Pham LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Out for the season
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rockies have a 20-21 overall record this season. Senzatela has thrown 397 innings and is sitting with 278 K's during his career. His earned run average is 5.10 (225 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.439. He has surrendered 431 base hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) and has 141 free passes. Senzatela (30-23 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.73 while he has gone up against 1,734 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.75 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 128 hitters and walked 55 batters. As a team, Colorado allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.46. The Rockies pitchers collectively have given up 401 base hits and 220 earned runs. They have allowed 58 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 118 batters and struck out 287. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.83.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Colorado is hitting .260, good for 9th in the league. The Rockies hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Trevor Story is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 47 hits this season in 160 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .544 and an OPS+ of 126. Daniel Murphy is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .288. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 15 men in 111 at bats. His OPS+ is 62 while his slugging percentage is at .360. The Rockies have 366 hits, including 54 doubles and 50 home runs. Colorado has walked 129 times so far this season and they have struck out 362 times as a unit. They have left 278 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 200 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Davies (49-34 mark in his career) has earned a 3.79 earned run average while conceding 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 2,776 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. In his MLB career, Davies has surrendered 650 hits while totaling 476 punchouts in 663 frames. He has conceded a total of 279 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.272 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 165 batters and walked 67 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 344 base knocks and 172 earned runs this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 125 hitters and struck out 383 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.92.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 6th in the league. The Padres hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .363. He has 49 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 166 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .572 with an OPS+ of 153. Wil Myers is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 40 hits in 141 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .560. The Padres as a unit have 378 base hits, including 71 doubles and 74 homers. San Diego has walked 148 times this year and they have struck out on 351 occasions. They have had 272 men left on base and have an OPS of .816. They have scored 5.56 runs per game and totaled 239 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rockies/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (-200)
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Additional Resources:
San Diego Padres - Twitter
Colorado Rockies - Twitter