Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/12/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2020

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FSOH/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+130) Cardinals (-140)

Busch Stadium is the venue where Tommy Edman and the St. Louis Cardinals (19-18, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (19-25, 4th in NL Central) on Saturday. The Cardinals open this matchup at -140 while the Reds are priced at +130. The over/under opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Anthony DeSclafani and Dakota Hudson.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/11/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/11/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/11/2020 Jesse Winker DH Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/11/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Mike Moustakas 2B Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/10/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/8/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

9/11/2020 Giovanny Gallegos RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/10/2020 Johan Oviedo SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/9/2020 Kwang Hyun Kim SP Chest Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/4/2020 Kodi Whitley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/2/2020 Dexter Fowler RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/31/2020 Ricardo Sanchez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2020 Miles Mikolas SP Forearm Out for the season
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 19-25 overall record this season. DeSclafani (37-39 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.27 while he has faced 2,738 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.26 (306 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.292. He has given up 653 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 183 free passes. DeSclafani has thrown 647 innings and has totaled 573 K's in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .190 against the bullpen and they've struck out 175 hitters and walked 73 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 306 base hits and 171 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 163 batters and struck out 447. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .210, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per game. Jesse Winker is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 34 hits this season in 123 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .569 and an OPS+ of 148. Joey Votto is hitting .216 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 29 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 134 at bats. His OPS+ is 86 while his slugging percentage is at .388. The Reds have 283 hits, including 56 doubles and 65 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 174 times so far this season and they have struck out 377 times as a unit. They have left 274 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 3.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 169 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

St. Louis has a 19-18 overall mark this year. In his pro baseball career, Hudson has given up 201 base hits and he has 182 strikeouts in 233 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 84 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.348 and a FIP of 4.7. His SO/W ratio is 1.61 and he has faced 996 batters so far in his MLB career. Hudson (22-10 career record) has a 3.24 ERA while surrendering 7.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 100 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .179 against the Cardinals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 127 batters and walked 65 opposing hitters. As a team, St. Louis allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 234 base knocks and 125 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. St. Louis as a staff has walked 129 hitters and struck out 276 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 4.74.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 14th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Tommy Edman comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .326. He has 34 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 130 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 99. Kolten Wong is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 31 hits in 113 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .327. The Cardinals as a unit have 280 base hits, including 52 doubles and 37 homers. St. Louis has walked 138 times this year and they have struck out on 281 occasions. They have had 235 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 168 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cardinals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals (-140)

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