Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FSOH/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (-101) Cardinals (-119)

Busch Stadium is the site where Kolten Wong and the St. Louis Cardinals (19-18, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (19-24, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The line on this contest has the Reds coming in at -101 and the Cardinals are at -119. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Luis Castillo and Adam Wainwright.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/10/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/9/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

9/10/2020 Giovanny Gallegos RP Undisclosed Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2020 Johan Oviedo SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/9/2020 Kwang Hyun Kim SP Chest Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/4/2020 Kodi Whitley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/2/2020 Dexter Fowler RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/31/2020 Ricardo Sanchez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2020 Miles Mikolas SP Forearm Out for the season
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 19-24 overall record this season. Castillo has taken the hill for 492 innings and has earned 549 punchouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.71 (203 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.188. He has given up 408 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 177 free passes. Castillo (29-32 career mark) has a FIP of 3.86 and he has gone up against 2,041 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the bullpen and they've struck out 168 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 293 base hits and 163 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 156 batters and struck out 436. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .209, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .217 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 28 hits this season in 129 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .395 and an OPS+ of 90. Jesse Winker is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 122 at bats. His OPS+ is 150 while his slugging percentage is at .574. The Reds have 274 hits, including 54 doubles and 65 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 170 times so far this season and they have struck out 368 times as a unit. They have left 267 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 164 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

St. Louis has a 19-18 overall mark this year. Wainwright (166-95 record in his career) holds a 3.38 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 3.09 and he has gone up against 8,897 hitters during his MLB career. In his career, Wainwright has surrendered 2,040 base hits while totaling 1,807 strikeouts in 2,143 innings. He has given up a total of 804 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.225 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .175 against the Cardinals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 123 batters and walked 62 opposing hitters. As a team, St. Louis allows 6.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 218 base knocks and 117 earned runs this season. They have given up 42 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. St. Louis as a staff has walked 123 hitters and struck out 260 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 16th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.4 hits per contest. Kolten Wong comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .381. He has 29 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .330 with an OPS+ of 96. Tommy Edman is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 31 hits in 123 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .382. The Cardinals as a unit have 260 base hits, including 49 doubles and 31 homers. St. Louis has walked 131 times this year and they have struck out on 269 occasions. They have had 224 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 153 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cardinals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds (-101)

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