Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 8/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, August 21, 2020

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: FSOH/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+111) Cardinals (-121)

Matt Carpenter and the St. Louis Cardinals (6-7, 3rd in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (10-12, 4th in NL Central) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds coming in at +111 and the Cardinals are at -121. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Anthony DeSclafani and Dakota Hudson.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/20/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/19/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/16/2020 Robert Stephenson RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/31/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

8/20/2020 Kodi Whitley RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/19/2020 Junior Fernandez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/18/2020 Paul DeJong SS Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/18/2020 Rangel Ravelo DH Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Yadier Molina C Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/17/2020 Carlos Martinez SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 10-12 overall record this season. DeSclafani has pitched in 635 innings and is sitting with 566 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 4.18 (295 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.274. He has conceded 637 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 172 walks. DeSclafani (37-38 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.21 and he has gone up against 2,673 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.00 and they have given up 58 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .182 against the bullpen and they've struck out 99 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 12 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 144 base hits and 85 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 78 batters and struck out 249. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 12 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.70.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .219, good for 26th in the league. The Reds hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.8 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .141 with an on-base percentage of .291. He has 10 hits this season in 71 at bats with 7 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .296 and an OPS+ of 58. Joey Votto is hitting .227 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 15 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 66 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .394. The Reds have 150 hits, including 30 doubles and 37 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 92 times so far this season and they have struck out 185 times as a unit. They have left 140 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 96 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Hudson (20-10 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.34 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.53 and he has faced 909 hitters so far in his career. In his MLB career, Hudson has conceded 188 hits while he has accumulated 162 strikeouts in 210 innings. He has conceded a total of 78 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.399 and a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 29 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .146 against the Cardinals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 61 batters and walked 21 opposing hitters. As a team, St. Louis allows 6.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 68 base knocks and 47 earned runs this season. They have given up 17 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. St. Louis as a staff has walked 44 hitters and struck out 112 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .232, good for 20th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 6.8 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .238 with an OBP of .304. He has 10 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 42 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .357 with an OPS+ of 79. Brad Miller is hitting .438 this season and he has an OBP of .545. He has collected 7 hits in 16 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 292 and a slugging percentage of .938. The Cardinals as a unit have 89 base hits, including 13 doubles and 13 homers. St. Louis has walked 36 times this year and they have struck out on 101 occasions. They have had 70 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 52 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cardinals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals (-121)

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