Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/6/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, September 6, 2020

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ATPT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (-130) Pirates (+110)

Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-25, 5th in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (17-22, 4th in NL Central) at PNC Park on Sunday. The Pirates open this matchup at +110 while the Reds are priced at -130. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Sonny Gray and Chad Kuhl.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/4/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/29/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/28/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/24/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/5/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/5/2020 Austin Davis RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/2/2020 Mitch Keller SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/25/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 17-22 overall record this season. Gray (75-62 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.71 while he has faced 4,653 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.52 (437 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.219. He has given up 968 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 395 walks. Gray has taken the hill for 1,118 innings and has tallied 1,050 K's so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.44 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .192 against the bullpen and they've struck out 156 hitters and walked 65 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.1 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 270 base hits and 156 earned runs. They have allowed 50 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 146 batters and struck out 399. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 11.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .215, good for 29th in the league. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.6 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .192 with an on-base percentage of .303. He has 25 hits this season in 130 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 91. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .248 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 137 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .562. The Reds have 256 hits, including 50 doubles and 59 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 151 times so far this season and they have struck out 323 times as a unit. They have left 245 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 3.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 153 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 12-25 overall mark this year. In his pro baseball career, Kuhl has conceded 343 hits while totaling 299 K's in 342 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 162 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.406 and having a FIP of 4.5. His SO/W ratio is 2.17 and he has gone up against 1,471 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Kuhl (19-21 career win-loss record) holds a 4.26 earned run average and has conceded 9.0 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 166 batters and walked 82 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 303 base knocks and 175 earned runs this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 158 hitters and struck out 320 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .222, good for 27th in the league. The Pirates hold a .352 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .283, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.4 hits per contest. Josh Bell comes into this matchup batting .197 with an OBP of .261. He has 25 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 127 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .307 with an OPS+ of 54. Erik Gonzalez is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .292. He has collected 28 hits in 106 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .443. The Pirates as a unit have 272 base hits, including 47 doubles and 34 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 103 times this year and they have struck out on 330 occasions. They have had 210 men left on base and have an OPS of .635. They have scored 4.03 runs per game and totaled 149 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds (-130)

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