Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FSN/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+131) Twins (-142)

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (30-28, 3rd in NL Central) are headed to Target Field on Sunday where they'll take on the Minnesota Twins (35-23, 1st in AL Central). The Twins open this game at -142 while the Reds are priced at +131. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Sonny Gray and Rich Hill.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/26/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/19/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Groin Out for the season
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/26/2020 Josh Donaldson 3B Calf Probable for Sep 26
9/25/2020 Byron Buxton CF Head Probable for Sep 26
9/22/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brent Rooker RF Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 30-28 overall record this season. Gray (75-63 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.71 while he has gone up against 4,690 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.54 (443 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.221. He has conceded 976 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 399 walks. Gray has taken the hill for 1,126 frames and has racked up 1,062 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .183 against the bullpen and they've struck out 222 hitters and walked 92 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 386 base hits and 206 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 208 batters and struck out 595. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .211, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .222 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 40 hits this season in 180 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .444 and an OPS+ of 107. Mike Moustakas is hitting .237 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 131 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .489. The Reds have 375 hits, including 73 doubles and 90 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 231 times so far this season and they have struck out 514 times as a unit. They have left 356 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 235 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

So far in his MLB career, Hill has surrendered 801 hits while he has totaled 1,031 strikeouts in 970 innings. He has surrendered a total of 410 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.225 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His SO/W ratio is 2.66 and he has faced 4,071 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Hill (67-44 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.80 earned run average while surrendering 7.4 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 254 batters and walked 78 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 433 base knocks and 197 earned runs this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 162 hitters and struck out 515 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 18th in the league. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .226 with an OBP of .316. He has 37 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 164 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .433 with an OPS+ of 105. Eddie Rosario is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 53 hits in 204 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .480. The Twins as a unit have 453 base hits, including 72 doubles and 91 homers. Minnesota has walked 181 times this year and they have struck out on 508 occasions. They have had 364 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 259 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (-142)

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