Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, August 27, 2020

Location: Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FSOH/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+115) Brewers (-125)

Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (11-17, 4th in NL Central) go to Miller Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (13-15, 3rd in NL Central). The Reds open this matchup at +115 while the Brewers are coming in at -125. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Wade Miley and Josh Lindblom.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/25/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/24/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/19/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

8/24/2020 Justin Grimm RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/20/2020 Corey Knebel RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/13/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 11-17 overall record this season. Miley (85-85 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.20 and he has faced 6,074 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.26 (668 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.389. He has surrendered 1,464 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 497 free passes. Miley has taken the hill for 1,412 innings and has tallied 1,123 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.36 and they have given up 68 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .173 against the bullpen and they've struck out 120 hitters and walked 46 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 185 base hits and 106 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 105 batters and struck out 303. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 11.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .203, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.3 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .245 with an on-base percentage of .336. He has 25 hits this season in 102 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .588 and an OPS+ of 138. Jesse Winker is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .426. He has totaled 23 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 77 at bats. His OPS+ is 164 while his slugging percentage is at .584. The Reds have 176 hits, including 35 doubles and 42 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 111 times so far this season and they have struck out 229 times as a unit. They have left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 3.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 110 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 13-15 overall mark this year. Lindblom (6-9 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.44 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.26 and he has faced 727 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. So far in his pro baseball career, Lindblom has allowed 163 base hits while totaling 163 strikeouts in 168 innings. He has given up a total of 83 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.397 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 157 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 225 base knocks and 122 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 96 hitters and struck out 293 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .213, good for 28th in the league. The Brewers hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.1 hits per contest. Orlando Arcia comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .329. He has 17 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 68 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .353 with an OPS+ of 85. Keston Hiura is hitting .243 this season and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 27 hits in 111 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .450. The Brewers as a unit have 199 base hits, including 40 doubles and 33 homers. Milwaukee has walked 94 times this year and they have struck out on 277 occasions. They have had 175 men left on base and have an OPS of .668. They have scored 3.96 runs per game and totaled 111 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (+115)

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