Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/9/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: MARQ/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (+130) Cubs (-150)

Ian Happ and the Chicago Cubs (24-18, 1st in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (18-23, 4th in NL Central) at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. The Cubs open this game at -150 while the Reds are priced at +130. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Trevor Bauer and Yu Darvish.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/8/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/29/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 8

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/7/2020 Tyler Chatwood SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/7/2020 Jose Quintana RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/7/2020 Jason Heyward RF Illness Probable for Sep 8
9/5/2020 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/4/2020 Andrew Chafin RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/23/2020 James Norwood RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/18/2020 Brad Wieck RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 18-23 overall record this season. Bauer (73-63 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.93 while facing 4,923 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.97 (512 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.279. He has surrendered 1,035 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 450 walks. Bauer has pitched in 1,161 innings and has earned 1,240 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 167 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 286 base hits and 160 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 415. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .211, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .230 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 28 hits this season in 122 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 100. Jesse Winker is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 116 at bats. His OPS+ is 162 while his slugging percentage is at .603. The Reds have 265 hits, including 52 doubles and 64 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 162 times so far this season and they have struck out 345 times as a unit. They have left 256 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 3.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 161 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 24-18 overall mark this year. Thus far in his career, Darvish has surrendered 886 base hits and he has 1,362 punchouts in 1,101 innings. He has allowed a total of 425 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.161 and having a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.47 and he has gone up against 4,546 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Darvish (70-54 career mark) is the owner of a 3.47 ERA while conceding 7.2 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 163 batters and walked 73 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 328 base knocks and 175 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 128 hitters and struck out 363 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 23rd in the league. The Cubs hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Ian Happ comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .420. He has 41 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 135 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .659 with an OPS+ of 185. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .217 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 31 hits in 143 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .434. The Cubs as a unit have 308 base hits, including 62 doubles and 59 homers. Chicago has walked 169 times this year and they have struck out on 397 occasions. They have had 289 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.62 runs per game and totaled 194 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs (-150)

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