Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/10/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: MARQ/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (-135) Cubs (+125)

Wrigley Field is the site where Anthony Rizzo and the Chicago Cubs (25-18, 1st in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (18-24, 4th in NL Central) on Thursday. The Reds open this game at -135 while the Cubs are coming in at +125. The O/U is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Adbert Alzolay.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/9/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 12

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/8/2020 Andrew Chafin RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/8/2020 Jason Heyward RF Illness Probable for Sep 9
9/7/2020 Jose Quintana RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/7/2020 Tyler Chatwood SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/5/2020 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/23/2020 James Norwood RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/18/2020 Brad Wieck RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 18-24 overall record this season. Gray has taken the ball for 1,118 innings and has 1,050 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.52 (437 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.219. He has conceded 968 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 395 walks. Gray (75-62 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.71 and he has faced 4,653 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .187 against the bullpen and they've struck out 168 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 290 base hits and 163 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 156 batters and struck out 426. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 11 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .210, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.4 hits per game. Jesse Winker is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .406. He has 34 hits this season in 119 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .588 and an OPS+ of 156. Joey Votto is hitting .224 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 125 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .408. The Reds have 270 hits, including 54 doubles and 64 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 167 times so far this season and they have struck out 354 times as a unit. They have left 264 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 161 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Alzolay (1-2 win-loss mark in his career) has a 5.32 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.56 and he has gone up against 98 hitters so far in his career. In his MLB career, Alzolay has given up 18 base hits while he has tallied 25 strikeouts in 20 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 12 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.675 and having a FIP of 5.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 166 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 333 base knocks and 175 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 133 hitters and struck out 372 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 25th in the league. The Cubs hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .211 with an OBP of .337. He has 31 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 147 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .422 with an OPS+ of 104. Ian Happ is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .410. He has collected 41 hits in 139 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 178 and a slugging percentage of .640. The Cubs as a unit have 312 base hits, including 62 doubles and 59 homers. Chicago has walked 170 times this year and they have struck out on 408 occasions. They have had 292 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.58 runs per game and totaled 197 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs (+125)

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