Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI

TV: MARQ/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Cubs (+133) Brewers (-144)

Ian Happ and the Chicago Cubs (25-19, 1st in NL Central) are headed to Miller Park on Friday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (19-22, 3rd in NL Central). The line on this contest has the Cubs priced at +133 and the Brewers are at -144. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jon Lester and Brandon Woodruff.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/9/2020 Andrew Chafin RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/7/2020 Tyler Chatwood SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/7/2020 Jose Quintana RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/5/2020 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/23/2020 James Norwood RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/18/2020 Brad Wieck RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/4/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 25-19 overall record this season. Lester has taken the hill for 2,577 innings and has accumulated 2,384 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.60 (1,031 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.266. He has allowed 2,434 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 830 walks. Lester (192-110 career record) holds a FIP of 3.76 while he has gone up against 10,777 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 120 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the bullpen and they've struck out 171 hitters and walked 75 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 337 base hits and 178 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 136 batters and struck out 386. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .226, good for 27th in the league. The Cubs hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Ian Happ is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 41 hits this season in 143 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .622 and an OPS+ of 170. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .205 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 151 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .411. The Cubs have 315 hits, including 62 doubles and 59 home runs. Chicago has walked 170 times so far this season and they have struck out 418 times as a unit. They have left 296 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 197 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Woodruff (18-9 career mark) has earned a 3.88 ERA and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.79 and he has faced 1,044 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. In his career, Woodruff has allowed 229 hits while he has totaled 277 strikeouts in 253 innings pitched. He has allowed 109 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.194 and a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 215 batters and walked 73 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.5 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 323 base knocks and 184 earned runs this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 143 hitters and struck out 419 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 23rd in the league. The Brewers hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .213 with an OBP of .347. He has 30 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 141 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .461 with an OPS+ of 113. Keston Hiura is hitting .229 this season and he has an OBP of .318. He has collected 36 hits in 157 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 106 and a slugging percentage of .465. The Brewers as a unit have 311 base hits, including 60 doubles and 53 homers. Milwaukee has walked 156 times this year and they have struck out on 401 occasions. They have had 282 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They have scored 4.32 runs per game and totaled 177 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers (-144)

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