Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: MARQ/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Cubs (-105) Reds (-115)

Great American Ball Park is the site of the matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday. The probable starting pitchers are Alec Mills for the Cubs and Tyler Mahle for the Reds.

Chicago opens at -105 while Cincinnati opens at -115. The Cubs had a 76-79-7 over/under record and a 84-78-0 run line mark last year. The Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line and had a 61-93-8 over/under record.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs were 76-79-7 against the over/under last season

The Chicago Cubs were 84-78-0 against the run line last year

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds were 61-93-8 against the over/under last season

The Cincinnati Reds were 75-87-0 against the run line last year

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/26/2020 Brad Wieck RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/23/2020 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
7/23/2020 Jose Quintana SP Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/23/2020 Mark Zagunis RF Opt Out Out for the season
7/9/2020 Manuel Rodriguez RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/26/2020 Joel Kuhnel RP Shoulder Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Mike Moustakas 3B Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/25/2020 Matt Davidson 1B Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/25/2020 Tucker Barnhart C Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/23/2020 Anthony DeSclafani SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs had a 84-78 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Alec Mills had a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.17. He had 42 strikeouts over his 36 innings pitched and he gave up 31 hits. He allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.98 and they gave up 481 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the bullpen and they struck out 559 hitters while walking 268 batters. As a team, Chicago allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Cubs pitchers collectively gave up 1,377 base hits and 657 earned runs last year. They allowed 195 home runs last season, ranking them 27th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff walked 534 batters and struck out 1,444. They walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit was 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago hit .252, good for 13th in the league. The Cubs held a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which was good for 8th in baseball. They ranked 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Kyle Schwarber hit .250 with an on-base percentage of .339 last year. He had 132 hits last season in 529 at bats with 92 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .531 and an OPS+ of 120. Anthony Rizzo hit .293 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .405. He totaled 150 hits and he drove in 94 men in 512 at bats. His OPS+ was 137 while his slugging percentage was at .520. The Cubs had 1,378 hits last season, including 270 doubles and 256 home runs. Chicago walked 581 times last year and they struck out 1,460 times as a unit. They left 1,071 men on base and had a team OPS of .783. They scored 5.02 runs per contest and scored a total of 814 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati had a 75-87 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.14, Tyler Mahle had a 3-12 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He had 129 strikeouts over the 129.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 136 hits. He allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.66. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.28 and they gave up 488 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers struck out 600 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team surrendered 1,270 base knocks and 668 earned runs last season. They gave up 214 home runs last year, which ranked 20th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,552 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.26 while their FIP as a staff was 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds held a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which was good for 22nd in baseball. They ranked 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup after batting .261 with an OBP of .357 last season. He had 137 hits last year along with 47 RBI in 525 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .411 with an OPS+ of 98. Nicholas Castellanos hit .289 last season and he had an OBP of .337. He collected 178 hits in 615 at bats while driving in 73 runs. He had an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Reds as a unit had 1,328 base hits last season, including 235 doubles and 227 homers. Cincinnati walked 492 times last year and they struck out on 1,436 occasions. They left 1,073 men on base and had an OPS of .736. They scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 701 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs (-105)

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