Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/12/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: NESN/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+127) Rays (-137)

Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (28-16, 1st in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (16-29, 5th in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox priced at +127 and the Rays are at -137. The total opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Nathan Eovaldi and Tyler Glasnow.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/8/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/11/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/11/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/11/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/10/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 16-29 overall record this season. Eovaldi (48-56 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.07 while facing 4,077 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.32 (457 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.363. He has conceded 998 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 300 walks. Eovaldi has taken the ball for 952 frames and has accumulated 743 punchouts in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.90 and they have given up 241 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 230 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.1. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 451 base hits and 263 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 195 batters and struck out 381. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.67 and their FIP as a unit is 5.47.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 35 hits this season in 137 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .409 and an OPS+ of 97. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 156 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .526. The Red Sox have 406 hits, including 89 doubles and 62 home runs. Boston has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 409 times as a unit. They have left 306 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 28-16 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Glasnow has conceded 262 hits while tallying 358 strikeouts in 297 frames. He has conceded 148 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.360 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and he has gone up against 1,275 hitters during his pro baseball career. Glasnow (12-18 career mark) has earned a 4.48 earned run average and has surrendered 7.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 202 batters and walked 73 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 358 base knocks and 167 earned runs this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 134 hitters and struck out 408 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 20th in the league. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Kevin Kiermaier comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .341. He has 25 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .396 with an OPS+ of 105. Willy Adames is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 39 hits in 135 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 145 and a slugging percentage of .519. The Rays as a unit have 347 base hits, including 85 doubles and 59 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 188 times this year and they have struck out on 431 occasions. They have had 306 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They have scored 4.91 runs per game and totaled 216 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (-137)

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