Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: NESN/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+159) Rays (-173)

Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox (16-29, 5th in AL East) go to Tropicana Field on Friday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Rays (28-16, 1st in AL East). The Rays open this matchup at -173 while the Red Sox are coming in at +159. The O/U opens at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Andrew Triggs and Blake Snell.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2020 Kevin Plawecki C Hand Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/8/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/10/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/10/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/5/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 16-29 overall record this season. Triggs (9-11 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.42 and he has gone up against 737 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.89 (92 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.330. He has given up 167 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 58 free passes. Triggs has pitched in 169 frames and has accounted for 155 K's during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.00 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 221 hitters and walked 103 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.17. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 446 base hits and 260 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 190 batters and struck out 364. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.68 and their FIP as a unit is 5.49.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .264, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 43 hits this season in 153 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .529 and an OPS+ of 127. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 133 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Red Sox have 398 hits, including 89 doubles and 60 home runs. Boston has walked 131 times so far this season and they have struck out 396 times as a unit. They have left 300 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 28-16 overall mark this year. Snell (41-29 career mark) holds a 3.27 earned run average while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 2,229 opposing batters in his career. In his pro baseball career, Snell has surrendered 443 base knocks while he has accumulated 630 strikeouts in 539 innings. He has conceded 196 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.241 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 194 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 350 base knocks and 163 earned runs this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 131 hitters and struck out 395 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 20th in the league. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Willy Adames comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .376. He has 39 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 132 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .530 with an OPS+ of 149. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .238 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 25 hits in 105 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .400. The Rays as a unit have 342 base hits, including 84 doubles and 57 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 183 times this year and they have struck out on 414 occasions. They have had 297 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.95 runs per game and totaled 213 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (-173)

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