Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/10/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: NESN/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+170) Rays (-185)

Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (28-15, 1st in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (15-29, 5th in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Thursday. The Rays open this game at -185 while the Red Sox are coming in at +170. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Mike Kickham and Josh Fleming.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/8/2020 Kevin Plawecki C Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/8/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/8/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/9/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/7/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/5/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/31/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 15-29 overall record this season. Kickham has taken the ball for 35 innings and has racked up 34 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 10.26 (40 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 2.137. He has surrendered 62 base knocks (15.9 hits per nine innings) with 13 free passes. Kickham (1-3 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 6.08 and he has faced 185 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.00 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 221 hitters and walked 103 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.17. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 446 base hits and 260 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 190 batters and struck out 364. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.68 and their FIP as a unit is 5.48.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .264, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 35 hits this season in 133 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 101. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 43 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 153 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .529. The Red Sox have 398 hits, including 89 doubles and 60 home runs. Boston has walked 131 times so far this season and they have struck out 396 times as a unit. They have left 300 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 28-15 overall mark this year. Fleming has conceded 14 hits while earning 11 K's in 15 innings. He has given up 6 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.060 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.50 and he has gone up against 60 opposing batters so far in his career. Fleming (3-0 record) has a 3.58 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 194 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 350 base knocks and 163 earned runs this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 131 hitters and struck out 395 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 18th in the league. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Kevin Kiermaier comes into this matchup batting .238 with an OBP of .344. He has 25 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 105 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .400 with an OPS+ of 106. Willy Adames is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 39 hits in 132 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .530. The Rays as a unit have 342 base hits, including 84 doubles and 57 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 183 times this year and they have struck out on 414 occasions. They have had 297 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.95 runs per game and totaled 213 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (-185)

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