Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/8/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NESN/FS1/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+137) Phillies (-148)

Jackie Bradley Jr and the Boston Red Sox (14-28, 5th in AL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (19-17, 2nd in NL East). The line on this game has the Red Sox priced at +137 and the Phillies are at -148. The total has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Martin Perez and Zach Eflin.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/6/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/6/2020 Kevin Plawecki C Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/4/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/2/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/2/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/6/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 14-28 overall record this season. Perez has thrown 969 innings and has totaled 626 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.69 (505 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.474. He has conceded 1,073 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) with 355 free passes. Perez (55-60 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.55 while he has faced 4,224 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.01 and they have given up 235 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 218 hitters and walked 98 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.21. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 433 base hits and 252 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 178 batters and struck out 355. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.67 and their FIP as a unit is 5.46.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .254 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 32 hits this season in 126 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .413 and an OPS+ of 97. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 146 at bats. His OPS+ is 129 while his slugging percentage is at .541. The Red Sox have 377 hits, including 87 doubles and 55 home runs. Boston has walked 126 times so far this season and they have struck out 378 times as a unit. They have left 284 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 199 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 19-17 overall mark this year. During his pro baseball career, Eflin has allowed 481 base knocks while earning 360 punchouts in 451 innings pitched. He has allowed 236 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.337 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. His SO/W ratio is 2.95 and he has gone up against 1,941 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Eflin (27-32 career record) is the owner of a 4.71 earned run average and has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.04 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 123 batters and walked 54 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 347 base knocks and 173 earned runs this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 110 hitters and struck out 321 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.62.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Phillies hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .434. He has 30 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 109 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 154. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 31 hits in 121 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .529. The Phillies as a unit have 302 base hits, including 55 doubles and 53 homers. Philadelphia has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out on 289 occasions. They have had 254 men left on base and have an OPS of .784. They have scored 5.28 runs per game and totaled 190 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies (-148)

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