Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/17/2020

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, August 17, 2020

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: NESN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+146) Yankees (-158)

Mitch Moreland and the Boston Red Sox (6-15, 5th in AL East) go to Yankee Stadium on Monday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (14-6, 1st in AL East). The Yankees open this matchup at -158 while the Red Sox are coming in at +146. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The men taking the mound are Martin Perez and Jordan Montgomery.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/16/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/13/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/13/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

8/15/2020 DJ LeMahieu 2B Thumb Probable for Aug 16
8/14/2020 Aaron Judge RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/11/2020 Giancarlo Stanton DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/9/2020 Aroldis Chapman RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/8/2020 Kyle Higashioka C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 6-15 overall record this season. Perez has pitched in 947 innings and has accounted for 613 punchouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.69 (494 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.481. He has conceded 1,055 base hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 348 free passes. Perez (55-58 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.52 while going up against 4,140 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.44 and they have given up 113 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 111 hitters and walked 46 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.1. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 213 base hits and 124 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 178. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.65 and their FIP as a unit is 5.18.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .254, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Mitch Moreland is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .349. He has 12 hits this season in 40 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .775 and an OPS+ of 191. Alex Verdugo is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 66 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Red Sox have 184 hits, including 39 doubles and 26 home runs. Boston has walked 53 times so far this season and they have struck out 192 times as a unit. They have left 135 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 93 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 14-6 overall mark this year. Montgomery (13-8 career win-loss mark) has a 3.97 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has faced 830 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Thus far in his career, Montgomery has conceded 180 hits while earning 177 strikeouts in 197 innings. He has given up a total of 87 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 61 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .190 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 82 batters and walked 32 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 141 base knocks and 77 earned runs this season. They have given up 25 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 61 hitters and struck out 168 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 3rd in the league. The Yankees hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. DJ LeMahieu comes into this matchup batting .411 with an OBP of .456. He has 30 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 73 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .534 with an OPS+ of 175. Gleyber Torres is hitting .234 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 15 hits in 64 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 81 and a slugging percentage of .313. The Yankees as a unit have 168 base hits, including 32 doubles and 35 homers. New York has walked 75 times this year and they have struck out on 167 occasions. They have had 132 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They have scored 5.75 runs per game and totaled 115 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees (-158)

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