Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/31/2020

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 31, 2020

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: NESN/YES

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+190) Yankees (-222)

Yankee Stadium is the site where Giancarlo Stanton and the New York Yankees (3-1, 1st in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (2-4, 5th in AL East) on Friday. The Red Sox open this contest at +190 while the Yankees are priced at -222. The total has been set at 11. The expected starting pitchers will be Ryan Weber and Jordan Montgomery.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/29/2020 Xander Bogaerts SS Undisclosed Probable for Jul 30
7/28/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/27/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

7/30/2020 Luis Cessa RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/30/2020 Aroldis Chapman RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/29/2020 Masahiro Tanaka SP Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 2-4 overall record this season. Weber has thrown 118 innings and has totaled 72 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.34 (70 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.331. He has given up 133 base knocks (10.1 hits per 9 innings) with 24 walks. Weber (3-10 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.67 while facing 506 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.16 and they have given up 32 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 36 hitters and walked 10 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.83. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 62 base hits and 35 earned runs. They have allowed 9 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 20 batters and struck out 50. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.52 and their FIP as a unit is 4.84.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .278, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Mitch Moreland is hitting .357 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 5 hits this season in 14 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .857 and an OPS+ of 223. Christian Vazquez is hitting .400 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .438. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 15 at bats. His OPS+ is 251 while his slugging percentage is at .867. The Red Sox have 59 hits, including 18 doubles and 6 home runs. Boston has walked 15 times so far this season and they have struck out 45 times as a unit. They have left 39 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 32 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 3-1 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Montgomery has allowed 165 base hits while he has totaled 167 K's in 182 innings. He has given up 78 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.1. His SO/W ratio is 2.65 and he has gone up against 765 batters thus far in his career. Montgomery (11-7 mark in his career) has earned a 3.85 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 14 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 13 batters and walked 5 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 26 base knocks and 15 earned runs this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 10 hitters and struck out 29 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .211, good for 23rd in the league. The Yankees hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .417 with an OBP of .533. He has 5 hits this year along with 5 RBI in 12 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of 1.000 with an OPS+ of 324. Gleyber Torres is hitting .214 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 3 hits in 14 at bats while driving in 2 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .429. The Yankees as a unit have 26 base hits, including 4 doubles and 7 homers. New York has walked 14 times this year and they have struck out on 42 occasions. They have had 26 men left on base and have an OPS of .710. They have scored 4.5 runs per game and totaled 18 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees (-222)

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