Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/15/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: NESN/FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+148) Marlins (-160)

Starling Marte and the Miami Marlins (23-21, 2nd in NL East) host the Boston Red Sox (17-31, 5th in AL East) at Marlins Park on Tuesday. The Red Sox open this matchup at +148 while the Marlins are priced at -160. The O/U opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Sandy Alcantara.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/11/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/11/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/10/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/7/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/14/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/12/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/10/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 17-31 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.08 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 253 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.12. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 478 base hits and 281 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 414. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.66 and their FIP as a unit is 5.49.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 52 hits this season in 180 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 127. J.D. Martinez is hitting .205 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .287. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 161 at bats. His OPS+ is 72 while his slugging percentage is at .360. The Red Sox have 435 hits, including 95 doubles and 66 home runs. Boston has walked 139 times so far this season and they have struck out 431 times as a unit. They have left 326 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 224 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 23-21 overall mark this year. Alcantara (10-18 career record) has a 3.85 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 1.78 and he has faced 1,119 batters during his pro baseball career. So far in his MLB career, Alcantara has surrendered 232 base knocks and he has 212 K's in 262 innings. He has surrendered a total of 112 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.339 and a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 172 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 134 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 367 base knocks and 197 earned runs this season. They have given up 64 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 166 hitters and struck out 330 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.18.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .357. He has 53 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 178 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .449 with an OPS+ of 116. Brian Anderson is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 39 hits in 143 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .448. The Marlins as a unit have 350 base hits, including 64 doubles and 42 homers. Miami has walked 148 times this year and they have struck out on 396 occasions. They have had 288 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 197 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins (-160)

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