Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, August 22, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: NESN/MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (-129) Orioles (+119)

Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles (12-13, 4th in AL East) play the Boston Red Sox (8-18, 5th in AL East) at Oriole Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox priced at -129 and the Orioles are at +119. The total opens at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Martin Perez and Alex Cobb.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/13/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/21/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/18/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/15/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
8/8/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 8-18 overall record this season. Perez (55-59 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.54 while he has gone up against 4,155 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.70 (497 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.481. He has given up 1,057 base knocks (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 351 walks. Perez has thrown 951 frames and has accumulated 614 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.62 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 136 hitters and walked 54 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 6.01. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 252 base hits and 151 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 107 batters and struck out 223. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.59 and their FIP as a unit is 5.28.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .256, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .231 with an on-base percentage of .314. He has 21 hits this season in 91 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .396 and an OPS+ of 89. Mitch Moreland is hitting .360 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .448. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 50 at bats. His OPS+ is 235 while his slugging percentage is at .840. The Red Sox have 229 hits, including 52 doubles and 30 home runs. Boston has walked 76 times so far this season and they have struck out 243 times as a unit. They have left 176 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 117 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

So far in his MLB career, Cobb has conceded 862 hits while he has tallied 701 punchouts in 891 innings pitched. He has conceded 381 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.257 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and he has gone up against 3,732 hitters during his career. Cobb (54-54 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.85 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 119 batters and walked 48 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 213 base knocks and 120 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 76 hitters and struck out 209 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 6th in the league. The Orioles hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Anthony Santander comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .343. He has 30 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 101 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .683 with an OPS+ of 173. Dwight Smith Jr is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .306. He has collected 14 hits in 63 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 84 and a slugging percentage of .365. The Orioles as a unit have 222 base hits, including 52 doubles and 36 homers. Baltimore has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out on 205 occasions. They have had 164 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 124 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-129)

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