Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/9/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: MASN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+152) Mets (-165)

Hanser Alberto and the Baltimore Orioles (19-21, 4th in AL East) head to Citi Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Mets (19-23, 4th in NL East). The Orioles open this contest at +152 while the Mets are priced at -165. The total opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Thomas Eshelman and Rick Porcello.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/7/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/6/2020 Renato Nunez 1B Hamstring Probable for Sep 8
9/6/2020 Cedric Mullins CF Undisclosed Probable for Sep 8
9/5/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2020 Alex Cobb SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/2/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/29/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/5/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 19-21 overall record this season. Eshelman (4-2 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 6.86 and he has faced 255 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 5.49 (36 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.373. He has given up 64 base hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) with 17 free passes. Eshelman has taken the ball for 59 innings and is sitting with 31 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the bullpen and they've struck out 186 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 327 base hits and 173 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 134 batters and struck out 326. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .261, good for 7th in the league. The Orioles hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Hanser Alberto is hitting .318 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 48 hits this season in 151 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .437 and an OPS+ of 110. Chance Sisco is hitting .235 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 16 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 68 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .471. The Orioles have 357 hits, including 72 doubles and 55 home runs. Baltimore has walked 118 times so far this season and they have struck out 343 times as a unit. They have left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 192 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his MLB career, Porcello has given up 2,243 hits while he has accumulated 1,540 punchouts in 2,076 frames. He has given up a total of 1,012 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.314 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 8,820 opposing hitters in his career. Porcello (150-122 career record) is the owner of a 4.39 ERA while allowing 9.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 178 batters and walked 81 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 351 base knocks and 185 earned runs this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 142 hitters and struck out 391 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .226 with an OBP of .337. He has 33 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 146 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 118. Jeff McNeil is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 36 hits in 121 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .438. The Mets as a unit have 391 base hits, including 78 doubles and 57 homers. New York has walked 142 times this year and they have struck out on 341 occasions. They have had 321 men left on base and have an OPS of .812. They have scored 4.86 runs per game and totaled 204 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+152)

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