Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/8/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: MAS2/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+175) Mets (-190)

Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets (19-22, 4th in NL East) play the Baltimore Orioles (19-21, 4th in AL East) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The Orioles open this contest at +175 while the Mets are coming in at -190. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be John Means and Michael Wacha.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/6/2020 Cedric Mullins CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/6/2020 Renato Nunez 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
9/5/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/5/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/4/2020 Alex Cobb SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/2/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/29/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/5/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 19-21 overall record this season. Means (12-14 career record) holds a FIP of 4.82 while he has gone up against 742 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.28 (85 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.174. He has surrendered 168 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 42 free passes. Means has pitched in 179 innings and is sitting with 137 punchouts during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the bullpen and they've struck out 186 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 327 base hits and 173 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 134 batters and struck out 326. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .261, good for 7th in the league. The Orioles hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Chance Sisco is hitting .235 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 16 hits this season in 68 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .471 and an OPS+ of 132. Hanser Alberto is hitting .318 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 151 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Orioles have 357 hits, including 72 doubles and 55 home runs. Baltimore has walked 118 times so far this season and they have struck out 343 times as a unit. They have left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 192 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his pro baseball career, Wacha has given up 877 hits while he has earned 786 K's in 887 innings pitched. He has conceded 393 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.336 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and he has faced 3,789 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Wacha (60-41 career mark) has a 3.99 earned run average and has conceded 8.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 175 batters and walked 79 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 342 base knocks and 177 earned runs this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 136 hitters and struck out 385 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Jeff McNeil comes into this matchup batting .291 with an OBP of .358. He has 34 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 117 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .410 with an OPS+ of 113. Pete Alonso is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 32 hits in 143 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Mets as a unit have 378 base hits, including 74 doubles and 56 homers. New York has walked 140 times this year and they have struck out on 330 occasions. They have had 311 men left on base and have an OPS of .812. They have scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 196 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+175)

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