Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/26/2020

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/MAS2

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+185) Red Sox (-210)

The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Wade LeBlanc for the Orioles and Ryan Weber for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +185 and Boston at -210. The Orioles had a 80-71-11 over/under record and a 54-108-0 run line mark last season. The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line and had a 90-67-5 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 80-71-11 against the over/under last year

The Baltimore Orioles were 54-108-0 against the run line last season

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 90-67-5 against the over/under last year

The Boston Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line last season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/24/2020 Ramon Urias 2B Lower Leg Probable for Jul 24
7/23/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2020 John Means SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2020 Dillon Tate RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/21/2020 Chance Sisco C Triceps Probable for Jul 24
7/20/2020 Stevie Wilkerson CF Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/20/2020 Anthony Santander RF Not Injury Related Probable for Jul 24
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
7/13/2020 Ty Blach RP Elbow Out for the season
7/12/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Back Probable for Jul 24
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/23/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/20/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/20/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/19/2020 Collin McHugh SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles had a 54-108 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Wade LeBlanc had a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 5.71 and a WHIP of 1.45. He had 92 strikeouts over his 121.1 innings pitched and he gave up 145 hits. He allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.49. The bullpen had an earned run average of 5.79 and they gave up 695 base hits on the year. Teams hit .268 against the bullpen while striking out 625 hitters and walking 295 batters. As a team, Baltimore allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They were 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers collectively gave up 1,544 base hits and 897 earned runs last year. They allowed 305 home runs last season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff walked 561 batters and struck out 1,248. They walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 5.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore hit .246, good for 20th in the league. The Orioles held a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Hanser Alberto hit .305 with an on-base percentage of .329 last year. He had 160 hits last season in 524 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS+ of 98. Jose Iglesias hit .288 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .318. He totaled 145 hits and he drove in 59 men in 504 at bats. His OPS+ was 85 while his slugging percentage was at .407. The Orioles had 1,379 hits last season, including 252 doubles and 213 home runs. Baltimore walked 462 times last year and they struck out 1,435 times as a unit. They left 1,063 men on base and had a team OPS of .725. They scored 4.5 runs per contest and scored a total of 729 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston had a 84-78 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.09, Ryan Weber had a 2-4 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He had 29 strikeouts over the 40.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 48 hits. He allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.2. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 599 base hits on the year. Teams hit .235 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers struck out 776 batters and walked 324 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Red Sox pitchers as a team surrendered 1,423 base knocks and 768 earned runs last season. They gave up 215 home runs last year, which ranked 18th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff walked 605 hitters and struck out 1,633 batters. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox held a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Mitch Moreland comes into this matchup after batting .252 with an OBP of .328 last season. He had 75 hits last year along with 58 RBI in 298 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .507 with an OPS+ of 112. Xander Bogaerts hit .309 last season and he had an OBP of .384. He collected 190 hits in 614 at bats while driving in 117 runs. He had an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .555. The Red Sox as a unit had 1,554 base hits last season, including 345 doubles and 245 homers. Boston walked 590 times last year and they struck out on 1,382 occasions. They left 1,170 men on base and had an OPS of .806. They scored 5.56 runs per game and totaled 901 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+185)

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