Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/MAS2

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+130) Red Sox (-141)

Fenway Park is the venue where Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox (21-34, 5th in AL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (23-32, 4th in AL East) on Thursday. The Orioles open this contest at +130 while the Red Sox are priced at -141. The O/U opens at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Alex Cobb and Martin Perez.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/22/2020 Evan Phillips RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/22/2020 Dillon Tate RP Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Wrist Probable for Sep 23
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/23/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/22/2020 Christian Arroyo 2B Back Probable for Sep 23
9/22/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 23-32 overall record this season. Cobb (54-57 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.13 while facing 3,819 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.90 (394 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.266. He has given up 887 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 265 walks. Cobb has pitched in 910 frames and has totaled 714 punchouts in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the bullpen and they've struck out 225 hitters and walked 104 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 445 base hits and 233 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 179 batters and struck out 445. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.62.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Orioles hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Hanser Alberto is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .308. He has 58 hits this season in 203 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .394 and an OPS+ of 91. Rio Ruiz is hitting .220 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .291. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 164 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Orioles have 467 hits, including 89 doubles and 70 home runs. Baltimore has walked 153 times so far this season and they have struck out 480 times as a unit. They have left 365 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 246 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

In his pro baseball career, Perez has conceded 1,086 hits while he has accumulated 641 strikeouts in 985 frames. He has surrendered 511 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.472 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.76 and he has gone up against 4,293 batters thus far in his career. Perez (56-60 record in his career) holds a 4.67 ERA while giving up 9.9 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.83 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 290 batters and walked 128 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.72. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 534 base knocks and 304 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 232 hitters and struck out 488 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.60 while their FIP as a staff is 5.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .346. He has 54 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 189 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .487 with an OPS+ of 122. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 48 hits in 172 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .424. The Red Sox as a unit have 505 base hits, including 111 doubles and 74 homers. Boston has walked 163 times this year and they have struck out on 498 occasions. They have had 385 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 258 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+130)

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