Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/FS1/FSSO

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-150) Nationals (+130)

Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals (16-26, 5th in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (26-18, 1st in NL East) at Nationals Park on Friday. The Nationals open this matchup at +130 while the Braves are coming in at -150. The over/under has been set at 11. The starting pitchers are Josh Tomlin and Erick Fedde.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2020 Tyler Flowers C Elbow Probable for Sep 11
9/8/2020 Max Fried SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/4/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/10/2020 Luis Garcia 2B Heel Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Probable for Sep 11
9/9/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/8/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/2/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/24/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
8/18/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 26-18 overall record this season. Tomlin (65-56 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.73 while he has gone up against 4,188 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.66 (521 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.215. He has given up 1,077 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 146 walks. Tomlin has taken the mound for 1,006 innings and has tallied 689 K's so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 170 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 192 hitters and walked 65 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 352 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 150 batters and struck out 352. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Braves hold a .491 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 52 hits this season in 170 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .482 and an OPS+ of 121. Freddie Freeman is hitting .329 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .449. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 152 at bats. His OPS+ is 170 while his slugging percentage is at .599. The Braves have 396 hits, including 94 doubles and 75 home runs. Atlanta has walked 157 times so far this season and they have struck out 403 times as a unit. They have left 293 men on base and have a team OPS of .836. They score 5.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 255 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 16-26 overall mark this year. Fedde (7-10 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.37 ERA and has given up 10.0 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 1.46 and he has gone up against 774 hitters so far in his MLB career. In his pro baseball career, Fedde has conceded 196 hits and he has 114 K's in 176 frames. He has given up a total of 105 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.557 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 164 batters and walked 76 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 381 base knocks and 197 earned runs this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 148 hitters and struck out 345 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 5.01.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Adam Eaton comes into this matchup batting .219 with an OBP of .277. He has 30 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 137 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .372 with an OPS+ of 70. Victor Robles is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 31 hits in 123 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 78 and a slugging percentage of .341. The Nationals as a unit have 365 base hits, including 76 doubles and 47 homers. Washington has walked 122 times this year and they have struck out on 307 occasions. They have had 281 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 195 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals (+130)

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