Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/10/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-137) Nationals (+127)

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (24-18, 1st in NL East) go to Nationals Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Washington Nationals (16-25, 5th in NL East). The Braves open this game at -137 while the Nationals are priced at +127. The over/under has been set at 10.5. The starting pitchers will be Robbie Erlin and Austin Voth.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/8/2020 Max Fried SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/4/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/28/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/9/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/8/2020 Luis Garcia 2B Heel Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/8/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/2/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/24/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
8/18/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 24-18 overall record this season. Erlin has thrown 342 innings and has totaled 277 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.74 (180 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.281. He has given up 368 base knocks (9.7 hits per nine innings) with 70 free passes. Erlin (13-20 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.81 and he has faced 1,432 batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 165 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 189 hitters and walked 63 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 339 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 146 batters and struck out 345. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .322 with an on-base percentage of .447. He has 47 hits this season in 146 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .575 and an OPS+ of 166. Dansby Swanson is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 49 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 166 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .476. The Braves have 373 hits, including 92 doubles and 68 home runs. Atlanta has walked 148 times so far this season and they have struck out 394 times as a unit. They have left 288 men on base and have a team OPS of .812. They score 5.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 226 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 16-25 overall mark this year. During his career, Voth has given up 84 base hits and he has 78 punchouts in 84 innings pitched. He has conceded 51 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.367 and having a FIP of 5.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and he has faced 364 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Voth (3-7 career record) has a 5.46 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 164 batters and walked 76 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 381 base knocks and 197 earned runs this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 148 hitters and struck out 345 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 5.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Nationals hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Victor Robles comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .329. He has 31 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 123 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .341 with an OPS+ of 79. Adam Eaton is hitting .219 this season and he has an OBP of .277. He has collected 30 hits in 137 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 71 and a slugging percentage of .372. The Nationals as a unit have 365 base hits, including 76 doubles and 47 homers. Washington has walked 122 times this year and they have struck out on 307 occasions. They have had 281 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 195 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (+127)

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