Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: SUN/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+125) Rays (-145)

The Atlanta Braves visit Tropicana Field on Tuesday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Kyle Wright for the Braves and Yonny Chirinos for the Rays.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +125 and Tampa Bay at -145. The Braves had a 79-80-8 over/under record and a 99-68-0 run line mark last year. The Rays were 99-69-0 against the run line and had a 80-78-10 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves were 79-80-8 against the over/under last year

The Atlanta Braves were 99-68-0 against the run line last season

Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays were 80-78-10 against the over/under last year

The Tampa Bay Rays were 99-69-0 against the run line last season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/26/2020 Cristian Pache LF Ankle Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Pete Kozma SS Illness Probable for Jul 26
7/25/2020 Mark Melancon RP Back Probable for Jul 26
7/24/2020 Will Smith RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/24/2020 Travis d'Arnaud C Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/24/2020 Tyler Flowers C Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/26/2020 Josh Lowe CF Shoulder Probable for Jul 26
7/25/2020 Austin Meadows RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/24/2020 Diego Castillo RP Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/23/2020 Randy Arozarena CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/23/2020 Brendan McKay SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season
5/21/2020 Brent Honeywell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves had a 97-65 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Kyle Wright had a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 8.69 and a WHIP of 1.88. He had 18 strikeouts over his 19.2 innings pitched and he gave up 24 hits. He allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 6.16. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.21 and they gave up 559 base hits on the year. Teams hit .250 against the bullpen and they struck out 598 hitters while walking 243 batters. As a team, Atlanta allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Braves pitchers collectively gave up 1,421 base hits and 675 earned runs last year. They allowed 203 home runs last season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff walked 548 batters and struck out 1,393. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta hit .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves held a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which was good for 7th in baseball. They ranked 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna hit .243 with an on-base percentage of .330 last year. He had 118 hits last season in 485 at bats with 89 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .474 and an OPS+ of 108. Freddie Freeman hit .295 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .389. He totaled 176 hits and he drove in 121 men in 597 at bats. His OPS+ was 136 while his slugging percentage was at .549. The Braves had 1,432 hits last season, including 277 doubles and 249 home runs. Atlanta walked 619 times last year and they struck out 1,467 times as a unit. They left 1,138 men on base and had a team OPS of .789. They scored 5.28 runs per contest and scored a total of 855 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay had a 96-66 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.85, Yonny Chirinos had a 9-5 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He had 114 strikeouts over the 133.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 112 hits. He allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.44. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.71 and they gave up 668 base hits on the year. Teams hit .228 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers struck out 825 batters and walked 262 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They were 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Rays pitchers as a team surrendered 1,274 base knocks and 598 earned runs last season. They gave up 181 home runs last year, which ranked 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff walked 453 hitters and struck out 1,621 batters. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.17 while their FIP as a staff was 3.65.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .254, good for 12th in the league. The Rays held a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which was good for 13th in baseball. They ranked 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Willy Adames comes into this matchup after batting .254 with an OBP of .317 last season. He had 135 hits last year along with 52 RBI in 531 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .418 with an OPS+ of 95. Yandy Diaz hit .267 last season and he had an OBP of .340. He collected 82 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He had an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .476. The Rays as a unit had 1,427 base hits last season, including 291 doubles and 217 homers. Tampa Bay walked 542 times last year and they struck out on 1,493 occasions. They left 1,130 men on base and had an OPS of .757. They scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 769 runs last year.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Rays (-145) and over 9 total runs

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