Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/7/2020

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, August 7, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NSP+/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-104) Phillies (-106)

Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (8-5, 2nd in NL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (2-4, 5th in NL East). The Phillies open this game at -106 while the Braves are coming in at -104. The over/under has been set at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Kyle Wright and Vince Velasquez.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/5/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/5/2020 Matt Adams DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/4/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/3/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/3/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/3/2020 Reggie McClain RP Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 8-5 overall record this season. Wright (0-4 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 6.24 and he has faced 154 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 7.62 (27 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.975. He has given up 37 hits (10.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 26 free passes. Wright has taken the ball for 32 frames and has accounted for 31 strikeouts during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.79 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 66 hitters and walked 16 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 100 base hits and 48 earned runs. They have allowed 10 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 46 batters and struck out 114. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.52.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .238, good for 12th in the league. The Braves hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .314 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 16 hits this season in 51 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .510 and an OPS+ of 131. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 12 hits and he has driven in 4 men in 50 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .400. The Braves have 103 hits, including 28 doubles and 17 home runs. Atlanta has walked 49 times so far this season and they have struck out 144 times as a unit. They have left 83 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 5.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 70 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 2-4 overall mark this year. In his career, Velasquez has surrendered 514 hits and he has 573 punchouts in 525 innings pitched. He has surrendered 275 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.367 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 and he has gone up against 2,257 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Velasquez (27-34 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.71 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 9.18 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .298 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 15 batters and walked 7 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.88. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 54 base knocks and 32 earned runs this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 14 hitters and struck out 48 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 5.05.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .300 with an OBP of .364. He has 6 hits this year along with 3 RBI in 20 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .600 with an OPS+ of 166. Bryce Harper is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .417. He has collected 4 hits in 18 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 172 and a slugging percentage of .556. The Phillies as a unit have 46 base hits, including 6 doubles and 9 homers. Philadelphia has walked 30 times this year and they have struck out on 37 occasions. They have had 45 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 5 runs per game and totaled 30 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-106)

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