Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/10/2020

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, August 10, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FS1/NSPA/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+126) Phillies (-136)

Didi Gregorius and the Philadelphia Phillies (4-4, 3rd in NL East) host the Atlanta Braves (9-6, 2nd in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Braves priced at +126 and the Phillies are at -136. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb and Aaron Nola.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/7/2020 Chris Martin RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/5/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/5/2020 Matt Adams DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/4/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/3/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/3/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 9-6 overall record this season. Newcomb has taken the ball for 344 innings and has totaled 342 punchouts during his career. His ERA is 3.97 (152 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.403. He has allowed 312 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 171 walks. Newcomb (22-22 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.24 and he has gone up against 1,502 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 53 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 68 hitters and walked 17 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 113 base hits and 56 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 50 batters and struck out 128. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.60.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .226, good for 18th in the league. The Braves hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 16 hits this season in 58 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .448 and an OPS+ of 106. Freddie Freeman is hitting .200 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 10 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 50 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .380. The Braves have 111 hits, including 29 doubles and 19 home runs. Atlanta has walked 53 times so far this season and they have struck out 161 times as a unit. They have left 90 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 74 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 4-4 overall mark this year. In his career, Nola has surrendered 677 hits while accumulating 845 strikeouts in 782 innings. He has allowed 304 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.167 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.58 and he has faced 3,219 opposing batters in his MLB career. Nola (53-36 career mark) holds a 3.50 ERA while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.93 and they have given up 31 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 23 batters and walked 7 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 67 base knocks and 34 earned runs this season. They have given up 12 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 16 hitters and struck out 67 batters. They give up a walk 2.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .321 with an OBP of .367. He has 9 hits this year along with 4 RBI in 28 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .536 with an OPS+ of 151. Bryce Harper is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .469. He has collected 7 hits in 24 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 196 and a slugging percentage of .583. The Phillies as a unit have 62 base hits, including 10 doubles and 12 homers. Philadelphia has walked 38 times this year and they have struck out on 49 occasions. They have had 57 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 5 runs per game and totaled 40 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (+126)

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