Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/30/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, August 30, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+114) Phillies (-124)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (13-14, 4th in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (18-13, 1st in NL East) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Braves coming in at +114 and the Phillies are at -124. The over/under is set at 9.5. The men taking the mound are Huascar Ynoa and Jake Arrieta.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/29/2020 Adam Duvall LF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/28/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/28/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/23/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/22/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 18-13 overall record this season. Ynoa (0-0 career mark) sits with a FIP of 6.98 and he has gone up against 56 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 8.11 (10 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.982. He has surrendered 15 hits (12.2 hits per nine innings) with 7 free passes. Ynoa has pitched in 11 innings and has earned 9 K's during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 138 hitters and walked 49 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 234 base hits and 124 earned runs. They have allowed 36 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 115 batters and struck out 255. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 38 hits this season in 124 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .484 and an OPS+ of 115. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .422. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 107 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .570. The Braves have 267 hits, including 69 doubles and 44 home runs. Atlanta has walked 98 times so far this season and they have struck out 305 times as a unit. They have left 202 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 156 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 13-14 overall mark this year. Arrieta (108-78 career mark) has a 3.73 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.58 and he has faced 6,194 batters during his MLB career. Thus far in his career, Arrieta has surrendered 1,293 hits and he has 1,336 strikeouts in 1,495 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 619 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.212 and a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.27 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .300 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 92 batters and walked 38 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.11. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 263 base knocks and 130 earned runs this season. They have given up 41 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 81 hitters and struck out 238 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 4th in the league. The Phillies hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .302 with an OBP of .445. He has 26 hits this year along with 20 RBI in 86 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .605 with an OPS+ of 179. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 26 hits in 98 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .388. The Phillies as a unit have 233 base hits, including 39 doubles and 40 homers. Philadelphia has walked 102 times this year and they have struck out on 206 occasions. They have had 191 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.41 runs per game and totaled 146 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Braves and over 9.5 runs

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