Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/29/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+122) Phillies (-142)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Andrew McCutchen and the Philadelphia Phillies (12-14, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (18-12, 1st in NL East) on Saturday. The Braves open this matchup at +122 while the Phillies are coming in at -142. The over/under is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Josh Tomlin and Zach Eflin.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
8/22/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/23/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/22/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/11/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 18-12 overall record this season. Tomlin has thrown 996 innings and has 686 punchouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.67 (517 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.218. He has surrendered 1,069 hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 144 walks. Tomlin (64-55 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.73 while he has gone up against 4,147 batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 130 hitters and walked 47 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 227 base hits and 118 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 244. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .423. He has 31 hits this season in 102 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .569 and an OPS+ of 160. Dansby Swanson is hitting .319 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 119 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .504. The Braves have 258 hits, including 66 doubles and 42 home runs. Atlanta has walked 93 times so far this season and they have struck out 297 times as a unit. They have left 194 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 152 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 12-14 overall mark this year. In his pro baseball career, Eflin has given up 470 base hits while tallying 347 punchouts in 438 frames. He has given up a total of 231 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.351 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and he has faced 1,892 opposing hitters so far in his career. Eflin (26-32 career mark) has a 4.75 ERA while giving up 9.7 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.52 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .309 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 87 batters and walked 34 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 254 base knocks and 127 earned runs this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 76 hitters and struck out 230 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 3rd in the league. The Phillies hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .307. He has 24 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 93 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .355 with an OPS+ of 78. Bryce Harper is hitting .317 this season and he has an OBP of .457. He has collected 26 hits in 82 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of 191 and a slugging percentage of .634. The Phillies as a unit have 226 base hits, including 38 doubles and 37 homers. Philadelphia has walked 98 times this year and they have struck out on 195 occasions. They have had 186 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.35 runs per game and totaled 139 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Braves and under 9.5 runs

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