Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/28/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, August 28, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+164) Phillies (-178)

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (18-12, 1st in NL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (12-14, 3rd in NL East). The line on this contest has the Braves coming in at +164 and the Phillies are at -178. The over/under opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Robbie Erlin and Zack Wheeler.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
8/22/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/23/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/22/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/11/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 18-12 overall record this season. Erlin has thrown 331 innings and has earned 270 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.60 (169 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.267. He has surrendered 353 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 66 walks. Erlin (13-20 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.71 and he has faced 1,380 opposing batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 130 hitters and walked 47 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 227 base hits and 118 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 244. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 19 hits this season in 71 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .549 and an OPS+ of 143. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 30 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 106 at bats. His OPS+ is 144 while his slugging percentage is at .557. The Braves have 258 hits, including 66 doubles and 42 home runs. Atlanta has walked 93 times so far this season and they have struck out 297 times as a unit. They have left 194 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 152 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 12-14 overall mark this year. During his career, Wheeler has surrendered 730 base knocks while tallying 746 K's in 782 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 324 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.286 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.70 and he has gone up against 3,310 hitters during his career. Wheeler (47-38 record in his career) has earned a 3.73 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.52 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .309 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 87 batters and walked 34 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 254 base knocks and 127 earned runs this season. They have given up 39 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 76 hitters and struck out 230 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 3rd in the league. The Phillies hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .353. He has 27 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 91 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .495 with an OPS+ of 126. J.T. Realmuto is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 27 hits in 95 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 145 and a slugging percentage of .600. The Phillies as a unit have 226 base hits, including 38 doubles and 37 homers. Philadelphia has walked 98 times this year and they have struck out on 195 occasions. They have had 186 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.35 runs per game and totaled 139 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Braves and under the total runs

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