Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/26/2020

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-115) Mets (+105)

The Atlanta Braves head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The expected starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb for the Braves and Rick Porcello for the Mets.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at -115 and New York at +105. The Braves had a 79-80-8 over/under mark and a 99-68-0 run line record last year. The Mets were 86-76-0 against the run line and had a 76-70-16 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves were 79-80-8 against the over/under last year

The Atlanta Braves were 99-68-0 against the run line last season

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets were 76-70-16 against the over/under last year

The New York Mets were 86-76-0 against the run line last season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/24/2020 Will Smith RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/24/2020 Travis d'Arnaud C Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/24/2020 Tyler Flowers C Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/23/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/21/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
7/19/2020 Johan Camargo SS Hamstring Probable for Jul 24
7/16/2020 Cristian Pache LF Ankle Probable for Jul 24
7/7/2020 Pete Kozma SS Illness Probable for Jul 24
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/22/2020 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/22/2020 Marcus Stroman SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Walker Lockett RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/16/2020 Brad Brach RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/15/2020 Jared Hughes RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves had a 97-65 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Sean Newcomb had a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.32. He had 65 strikeouts over his 68.1 innings pitched and he gave up 61 hits. He allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.21 and they gave up 559 base hits on the year. Teams hit .250 against the bullpen and they struck out 598 hitters while walking 243 batters. As a team, Atlanta allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Braves pitchers collectively gave up 1,421 base hits and 675 earned runs last year. They allowed 203 home runs last season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff walked 548 batters and struck out 1,393. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta hit .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves held a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which was good for 7th in baseball. They ranked 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Freddie Freeman hit .295 with an on-base percentage of .389 last year. He had 176 hits last season in 597 at bats with 121 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .549 and an OPS+ of 136. Marcell Ozuna hit .243 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .330. He totaled 118 hits and he drove in 89 men in 485 at bats. His OPS+ was 108 while his slugging percentage was at .474. The Braves had 1,432 hits last season, including 277 doubles and 249 home runs. Atlanta walked 619 times last year and they struck out 1,467 times as a unit. They left 1,138 men on base and had a team OPS of .789. They scored 5.28 runs per contest and scored a total of 855 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York had a 86-76 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.52, Rick Porcello had a 14-12 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He had 143 strikeouts over the 174.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 198 hits. He allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.76. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.99 and they gave up 517 base hits on the year. Teams hit .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers struck out 556 batters and walked 227 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Mets pitchers as a team surrendered 1,405 base knocks and 688 earned runs last season. They gave up 204 home runs last year, which ranked 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff walked 500 hitters and struck out 1,520 batters. They gave up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.30 while their FIP as a staff was 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets held a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup after batting .256 with an OBP of .307 last season. He had 100 hits last year along with 39 RBI in 390 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 96. Jeff McNeil hit .318 last season and he had an OBP of .384. He collected 162 hits in 510 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He had an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Mets as a unit had 1,445 base hits last season, including 280 doubles and 242 homers. New York walked 516 times last year and they struck out on 1,384 occasions. They left 1,128 men on base and had an OPS of .770. They scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 791 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (+105)

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