Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/15/2020

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, August 15, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-177) Marlins (+163)

Jesus Aguilar and the Miami Marlins (8-4, 1st in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (11-9, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Saturday. The Braves open this contest at -177 while the Marlins are priced at +163. The over/under opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Daniel Castano.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/14/2020 Matt Adams DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/13/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/12/2020 Ronald Acuna RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/7/2020 Chris Martin RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/4/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/14/2020 Yimi Garcia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Jose Urena SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 20

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 11-9 overall record this season. Fried has thrown 247 innings and has 260 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.64 (100 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.326. He has given up 243 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 85 walks. Fried (22-11 career record) holds a FIP of 3.71 while he has gone up against 1,051 batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.22 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 93 hitters and walked 33 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 152 base hits and 84 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 164. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .244, good for 12th in the league. The Braves hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Austin Riley is hitting .180 with an on-base percentage of .236. He has 9 hits this season in 50 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .380 and an OPS+ of 62. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 70 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .500. The Braves have 162 hits, including 42 doubles and 28 home runs. Atlanta has walked 65 times so far this season and they have struck out 203 times as a unit. They have left 123 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 5.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 104 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 8-4 overall mark this year. Castano (0-1) is the owner of a 8.78 ERA and has allowed 11 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.00 and he has faced 20 opposing batters. Castano has conceded 5 base knocks and he has 4 strikeouts in 4 frames. He has surrendered 4 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.463 and being the owner of a FIP of 8.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 46 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 39 batters and walked 26 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 90 base knocks and 48 earned runs this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 47 hitters and struck out 92 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 5.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 19th in the league. The Marlins hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Jesus Aguilar comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .353. He has 14 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 45 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .622 with an OPS+ of 164. Jonathan Villar is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .291. He has collected 11 hits in 49 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 67 and a slugging percentage of .306. The Marlins as a unit have 92 base hits, including 13 doubles and 15 homers. Miami has walked 43 times this year and they have struck out on 110 occasions. They have had 71 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They have scored 5 runs per game and totaled 60 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Braves and under 8.5 runs

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