Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/16/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-175) Orioles (+161)

Oriole Park is the venue where José Iglesias and the Baltimore Orioles (21-26, 4th in AL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (28-20, 1st in NL East) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Braves priced at -175 and the Orioles are at +161. The O/U has been set at 10. The starting pitchers are Cole Hamels and Keegan Akin.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/12/2020 Max Fried SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/12/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/11/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/14/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
9/9/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 28-20 overall record this season. Hamels (163-121 career mark) has a FIP of 3.76 while going up against 11,101 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.42 (1,024 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.183. He has allowed 2,421 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 766 free passes. Hamels has taken the mound for 2,694 frames and has accounted for 2,558 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen and they've struck out 219 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 400 base hits and 216 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 179 batters and struck out 397. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .484 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .409. He has 31 hits this season in 119 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .597 and an OPS+ of 159. Ozzie Albies is hitting .246 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .288. He has totaled 17 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 69 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .420. The Braves have 443 hits, including 101 doubles and 83 home runs. Atlanta has walked 180 times so far this season and they have struck out 449 times as a unit. They have left 335 men on base and have a team OPS of .829. They score 5.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 280 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Akin (0-1 mark) has a 4.77 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.00 and he has gone up against 61 hitters during his career. Akin has conceded 11 base knocks and he has 16 strikeouts in 13 frames. He has given up 7 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.439 and having a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 169 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 200 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 380 base knocks and 203 earned runs this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 154 hitters and struck out 371 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league. The Orioles hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. José Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .370 with an OBP of .387. He has 44 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 119 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 140. Renato Nunez is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 43 hits in 169 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Orioles as a unit have 416 base hits, including 79 doubles and 66 homers. Baltimore has walked 136 times this year and they have struck out on 405 occasions. They have had 316 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 226 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (-175)

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