Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/27/2020

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, July 27, 2020

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: FSAZ/FSSD

Odds/Point Spread: Diamondbacks (+100) Padres (-120)

The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Petco Park on Monday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Luke Weaver for the Diamondbacks and Zach Davies for the Padres.

The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +100 and San Diego at -120. The Diamondbacks had a 76-76-10 over/under record and a 85-77-0 run line mark last season. The Padres were 70-92-0 against the run line and had a 73-76-13 over/under record.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks were 76-76-10 against the over/under last year

The Arizona Diamondbacks were 85-77-0 against the run line last season

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres were 73-76-13 against the over/under last year

The San Diego Padres were 70-92-0 against the run line last season

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

7/26/2020 Yoan Lopez RP Undisclosed Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Jon Duplantier RP Elbow Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Seth Beer 1B Face Probable for Jul 26
7/23/2020 Corbin Martin SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/29/2020 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

7/26/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/25/2020 Eric Hosmer 1B Illness Probable for Jul 26
7/23/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2020 Jorge Mateo SS Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/23/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks had a 85-77 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Luke Weaver had a 4-3 record with an earned run average of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.07. He had 69 strikeouts over his 64.1 innings pitched and he gave up 55 hits. He allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.07. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.26 and they gave up 568 base hits on the year. Teams hit .247 against the bullpen while striking out 585 hitters and walking 235 batters. As a team, Arizona allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They were 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively gave up 1,400 base hits and 691 earned runs last year. They allowed 220 home runs last season, ranking them 17th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff walked 516 batters and struck out 1,427. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit was 4.40.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona hit .252, good for 14th in the league. The Diamondbacks held a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which was good for 16th in baseball. They ranked 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Nick Ahmed hit .254 with an on-base percentage of .316 last year. He had 141 hits last season in 556 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .437 and an OPS+ of 93. Christian Walker hit .259 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .348. He totaled 137 hits and he drove in 73 men in 529 at bats. His OPS+ was 111 while his slugging percentage was at .476. The Diamondbacks had 1,419 hits last season, including 288 doubles and 220 home runs. Arizona walked 540 times last year and they struck out 1,360 times as a unit. They left 1,119 men on base and had a team OPS of .757. They scored 5.02 runs per contest and scored a total of 813 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego had a 70-92 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.55, Zach Davies had a 10-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He had 102 strikeouts over the 159.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 155 hits. He allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.56. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.59 and they gave up 605 base hits on the year. Teams hit .248 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers struck out 672 batters and walked 202 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They were 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Padres pitchers as a team surrendered 1,394 base knocks and 732 earned runs last season. They gave up 215 home runs last year, which ranked 19th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff walked 463 hitters and struck out 1,475 batters. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.30 while their FIP as a staff was 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .238, good for 28th in the league. The Padres held a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which was good for 26th in baseball. They ranked 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Tommy Pham comes into this matchup after batting .273 with an OBP of .369 last season. He had 155 hits last year along with 68 RBI in 567 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .450 with an OPS+ of 119. Eric Hosmer hit .265 last season and he had an OBP of .310. He collected 164 hits in 619 at bats while driving in 99 runs. He had an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .425. The Padres as a unit had 1,281 base hits last season, including 224 doubles and 219 homers. San Diego walked 504 times last year and they struck out on 1,581 occasions. They left 1,008 men on base and had an OPS of .718. They scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 682 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (-120)

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