Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 6/26/2019

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trent Thornton vs. James Paxton

Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (29-50, 4th in AL East) head to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (50-28, 1st in AL East). The Blue Jays open this game at +242 while the Yankees are priced at -265. The over/under is set at 10.

The Blue Jays have been a bad bet for wagerers, having gone 29-50-0 SU. The Yankees cover 64.1% of the time, going 50-28-0 straight up. The Yankees have been a great option for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 43-19-0 SU. Toronto has went 20-39-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 33.9% of the time.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a good Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 39-37-3.

Toronto covers 39.0% of the time on the road, having gone 16-25-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

New York covers 67.4% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 29-14-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a great Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 43-32-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/18/2019 Justin Smoak 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/15/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

6/24/2019 Kendrys Morales DH Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/24/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/21/2019 Domingo German SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/11/2019 Dellin Betances RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/3/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
5/5/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 29-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trent Thornton has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 87 strikeouts over his 82.2 innings pitched and he's given up 78 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 336 hitters and walked 140 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 711 base hits and 379 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 649. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.89.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .227, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .303. He has 75 hits this season in 284 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .444 and an OPS+ of 100. Randal Grichuk is hitting .227 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .284. He has totaled 68 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 299 at bats. His OPS+ is 88 while his slugging percentage is at .418. The Blue Jays have 603 hits, including 120 doubles and 104 home runs. Toronto has walked 242 times so far this season and they have struck out 729 times as a unit. They have left 481 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 326 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 50-28 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.75, James Paxton has a 5-3 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 60 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 56 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 330 batters and walked 121 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 641 base knocks and 313 earned runs this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 239 hitters and struck out 726 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league. The Yankees hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. DJ LeMahieu comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .380. He has 97 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 293 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .495 with an OPS+ of 131. Gleyber Torres is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 76 hits in 267 at bats while driving in 45 runs. He has an OPS+ of 132 and a slugging percentage of .539. The Yankees as a unit have 686 base hits, including 114 doubles and 128 homers. New York has walked 289 times this year and they have struck out on 684 occasions. They have had 503 men left on base and have an OPS of .791. They have scored 5.58 runs per game and totaled 435 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees -265

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