Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trent Thornton vs. Chris Sale

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (41-35, 3rd in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (26-48, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Friday, June 21, 2019. The Red Sox open this contest at -340 while the Blue Jays are coming in at +300. The total opens at 8.5.

The Blue Jays have been a lousy choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 26-48-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 53.9% of the time, going 41-35-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a strong play for wagerers as favorites, going 35-28-0 SU. Toronto is covering 31.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 17-37-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 35-36-3.

Toronto is covering 37.8% of the time on the road, having gone 14-23-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston is covering 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 17-17-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a strong Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 41-32-3.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/19/2019 Teoscar Hernandez LF Wrist Probable for Jun 20
6/18/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/18/2019 Justin Smoak 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/15/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/19/2019 Rafael Devers 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/19/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/17/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/15/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/14/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 26-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trent Thornton has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 76.1 innings pitched and he's given up 70 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 309 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 656 base hits and 350 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 287 batters and struck out 603. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.94.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .221, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .217 with an on-base percentage of .277. He has 60 hits this season in 276 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .406 and an OPS+ of 83. Freddy Galvis is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .292. He has totaled 67 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 263 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .422. The Blue Jays have 546 hits, including 110 doubles and 94 home runs. Toronto has walked 219 times so far this season and they have struck out 670 times as a unit. They have left 438 men on base and have a team OPS of .674. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 292 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 41-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.49, Chris Sale has a 3-7 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 130 strikeouts over the 90.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 67 hits. He's allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 342 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 634 base knocks and 324 earned runs this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 765 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .360. He has 91 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 296 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .503 with an OPS+ of 124. J.D. Martinez is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 76 hits in 261 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .540. The Red Sox as a unit have 703 base hits, including 146 doubles and 109 homers. Boston has walked 302 times this year and they have struck out on 643 occasions. They have had 557 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They have scored 5.37 runs per game and totaled 408 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +300

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