Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 6/13/2019

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Gabriel Ynoa

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (21-45, 5th in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (23-43, 4th in AL East) at Oriole Park on Thursday, June 13, 2019. The Blue Jays open this game at -125 while the Orioles are priced at +115. The total opens at 9.

The Blue Jays have been strong for oddsmakers, having gone 23-43-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 31.8% of the time, going 21-45-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been strong for oddsmakers as a favorite, going 7-11-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 30.6% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-43-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 29-35-2.

Toronto is covering 34.4% of the time as the visitor, having gone 11-21-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore is covering 28.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 9-23-0 SU.

The Orioles have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 30-33-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/31/2019 David Phelps RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/29/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/19/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/19/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
6/11/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/11/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 13
6/7/2019 Dwight Smith LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 23-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 63 strikeouts over his 81.2 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 273 hitters and walked 111 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 572 base hits and 298 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 545. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .218, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .224 with an on-base percentage of .282. He has 55 hits this season in 245 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .416 and an OPS+ of 87. Freddy Galvis is hitting .241 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .276. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 228 at bats. His OPS+ is 84 while his slugging percentage is at .412. The Blue Jays have 476 hits, including 98 doubles and 79 home runs. Toronto has walked 191 times so far this season and they have struck out 603 times as a unit. They have left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .660. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 244 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 21-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.96, Gabriel Ynoa has a 0-2 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 35 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.61 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 252 batters and walked 122 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.48. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 600 base knocks and 356 earned runs this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 239 hitters and struck out 509 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 5.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .313. He has 63 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 249 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .402 with an OPS+ of 92. Trey Mancini is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 73 hits in 244 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Orioles as a unit have 537 base hits, including 103 doubles and 82 homers. Baltimore has walked 170 times this year and they have struck out on 592 occasions. They have had 427 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They have scored 4.02 runs per game and totaled 265 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +115

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