Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 6/10/2019

Monday, June 10, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Minor vs. Chris Sale

Fenway Park is the site where Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (34-31, 3rd in AL East) will play the Texas Rangers (34-29, 2nd in AL West) on Monday. The Rangers open this game at +212 while the Red Sox are priced at -230. The over/under is set at 8.5.

The Rangers have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 34-29-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 52.3% of the time, going 34-31-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as the favorite, going 30-25-0 SU. Texas has gone 21-23-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 47.7% of the time.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a dicey Over pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 31-31-1.

The Rangers are covering 35.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 10-18-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 51.7% of the time at Fenway Park, going 15-14-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been an awful Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 36-27-2.

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/7/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/7/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/6/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/4/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/29/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/1/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/8/2019 J.D DH Back Probable for Jun 9
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/7/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/7/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/5/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 34-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Minor has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 87 strikeouts over his 81.1 innings pitched and he's given up 73 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 224 hitters and walked 109 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 594 base hits and 301 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 521. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.67.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Rangers hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .379. He has 64 hits this season in 223 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .525 and an OPS+ of 131. Nomar Mazara is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 61 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 226 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .456. The Rangers have 555 hits, including 125 doubles and 91 home runs. Texas has walked 230 times so far this season and they have struck out 606 times as a unit. They have left 422 men on base and have a team OPS of .786. They score 5.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 356 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 34-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.84, Chris Sale has a 2-7 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 58 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 208 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 282 batters and walked 101 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 531 base knocks and 283 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 205 hitters and struck out 638 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .385. He has 66 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 246 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 121. J.D. Martinez is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 64 hits in 216 at bats while driving in 33 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .528. The Red Sox as a unit have 580 base hits, including 123 doubles and 90 homers. Boston has walked 258 times this year and they have struck out on 534 occasions. They have had 462 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They have scored 5.32 runs per game and totaled 346 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -230

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