St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets MLB Picks & Predictions 6/16/2019

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dakota Hudson vs. Jason Vargas

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (33-36, 3rd in NL East) host the St. Louis Cardinals (35-33, 3rd in NL Central) at Citi Field on Sunday, June 16, 2019. The moneyline on this game has the Cardinals coming in at -115 and the Mets are at +105. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Cardinals have been less than ideal for oddsmakers, having gone 35-33-0 SU. The Mets cover 47.8% of the time, going 33-36-0 straight up. The Cardinals have been less than ideal for oddsmakers as a favorite, going 20-17-0 SU. New York covers 41.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 13-18-0 straight up.

Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have been a hot and cold Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 32-33-3.

The Cardinals cover 42.4% of the time as a visitor, having gone 14-19-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 59.4% of the time at Citi Field, going 19-13-0 SU.

The Mets have been a very good Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 36-26-7.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

6/13/2019 Jedd Gyorko 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/13/2019 Ryan Helsley RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/12/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
6/12/2019 Mike Mayers RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Adam Wainwright SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/14/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Back Probable for Jun 15
6/14/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/11/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/9/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/29/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 35-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dakota Hudson has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.50 this season. He has 51 strikeouts over his 72.2 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 269 hitters and walked 99 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 537 base hits and 284 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 244 batters and struck out 581. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .246, good for 18th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 68 hits this season in 261 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 104. Paul DeJong is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 68 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 252 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Cardinals have 559 hits, including 105 doubles and 85 home runs. St. Louis has walked 239 times so far this season and they have struck out 573 times as a unit. They have left 463 men on base and have a team OPS of .733. They score 4.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 318 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 33-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.68, Jason Vargas has a 3-3 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 51.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 49 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.31 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 232 batters and walked 106 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 611 base knocks and 315 earned runs this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 227 hitters and struck out 638 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Mets hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .344. He has 64 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 247 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .599 with an OPS+ of 151. Amed Rosario is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .289. He has collected 64 hits in 260 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Mets as a unit have 593 base hits, including 113 doubles and 94 homers. New York has walked 226 times this year and they have struck out on 637 occasions. They have had 477 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.68 runs per game and totaled 323 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals -115

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink