Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 6/29/2019
Saturday, June 29, 2019
Miller Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jordan Lyles vs. Brandon Woodruff
Miller Park is the venue where Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (43-38, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-41, 4th in NL Central) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Pirates coming in at +185 and the Brewers are at -200. The total opens at 10.
The Pirates have been solid for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 38-41-0 SU. The Brewers cover 53.1% of the time, going 43-38-0 straight up. The Brewers have been excellent for bettors as favorites, going 26-21-0 SU. Pittsburgh has gone 24-31-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 43.6% of the time.
Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have been a strong Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 47-29-3.
Pittsburgh covers 48.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 21-22-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers cover 59.5% of the time at Miller Park, going 25-17-0 SU.
The Brewers have been a pretty good Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 36-42-3.
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
6/26/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
6/25/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/24/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/19/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Pirates have a 38-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Lyles has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 66 strikeouts over his 64.1 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.12 and they have given up 302 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 149 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 725 base hits and 391 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 289 batters and struck out 697. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Pirates hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .311 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 94 hits this season in 302 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .646 and an OPS+ of 166. Melky Cabrera is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 211 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .431. The Pirates have 739 hits, including 160 doubles and 84 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 216 times so far this season and they have struck out 631 times as a unit. They have left 560 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 371 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 43-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.01, Brandon Woodruff has a 9-2 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 114 strikeouts over the 94.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 85 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.07. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 283 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 373 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 712 base knocks and 380 earned runs this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 289 hitters and struck out 771 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .310. He has 76 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 304 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .352 with an OPS+ of 72. Christian Yelich is hitting .335 this season and he has an OBP of .427. He has collected 93 hits in 278 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 188 and a slugging percentage of .719. The Brewers as a unit have 697 base hits, including 129 doubles and 139 homers. Milwaukee has walked 311 times this year and they have struck out on 771 occasions. They have had 575 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 399 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Pirates/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -200
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks