New York Yankees at New York Mets MLB Picks 7/2/2019

Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Zack Wheeler

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (38-47, 4th in NL East) host the New York Yankees (54-28, 1st in AL East) at Citi Field on Tuesday, July 2, 2019. The Mets open this contest at +152 while the Yankees are coming in at -162. The total opens at 10.

The Yankees have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 54-28-0 SU. The Mets cover 44.7% of the time, going 38-47-0 straight up. The Yankees have been a strong bet for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 47-19-0 SU. New York has gone 15-27-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 35.7% of the time.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a terrible Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 46-33-3.

The Yankees cover 60.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 21-14-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 56.8% of the time at Citi Field, going 21-16-0 SU.

The Mets have been a terrible Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 44-31-10.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

6/30/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/30/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/30/2019 Gary Sanchez C Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/30/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/30/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/21/2019 Domingo German SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/30/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/29/2019 Jeurys Familia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/22/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 54-28 overall record this season. Starting pitcher James Paxton has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 64.1 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 360 hitters and walked 126 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 694 base hits and 344 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 250 batters and struck out 760. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .345 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 108 hits this season in 313 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .534 and an OPS+ of 144. Gleyber Torres is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 83 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 281 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .548. The Yankees have 744 hits, including 126 doubles and 138 home runs. New York has walked 309 times so far this season and they have struck out 719 times as a unit. They have left 538 men on base and have a team OPS of .808. They score 5.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 476 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 38-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.51, Zack Wheeler has a 6-5 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 107.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 105 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.64 and they have given up 296 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 290 batters and walked 133 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 761 base knocks and 406 earned runs this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 283 hitters and struck out 777 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Mets hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .372. He has 85 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 306 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .627 with an OPS+ of 165. Jeff McNeil is hitting .348 this season and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 93 hits in 267 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 150 and a slugging percentage of .509. The Mets as a unit have 749 base hits, including 144 doubles and 121 homers. New York has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out on 760 occasions. They have had 595 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 404 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees -162

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