Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 6/18/2019

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brandon Woodruff vs. Matt Strahm

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (40-31, 1st in NL Central) travel to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (35-37, 4th in NL West). The Brewers open this game at -130 while the Padres are priced at +120. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Brewers have been a very good option for bettors, having gone 40-31-0 SU. San Diego is covering 48.6% of the time, going 35-37-0 straight up. The Brewers have been very good for wagerers as a favorite, going 23-15-0 SU. San Diego has went 17-20-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 46.0% of the time.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been an inconsistent Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 31-37-3.

Milwaukee is covering 50.0% of the time away from home, having gone 18-18-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres are covering 47.4% of the time at Petco Park, going 18-20-0 SU.

The Padres have been a less than ideal Under play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 36-31-5.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/13/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/8/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

6/16/2019 Franmil Reyes RF Neck Probable for Jun 17
6/13/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/8/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/2/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/1/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/29/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/28/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
5/27/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
2/19/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 40-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff has a 8-1 record with an earned run average of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 81.1 innings pitched and he's given up 71 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 124 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 623 base hits and 327 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 252 batters and struck out 667. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .254, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .343 with an on-base percentage of .444. He has 81 hits this season in 236 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .746 and an OPS+ of 201. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .248 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .305. He has totaled 69 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 278 at bats. His OPS+ is 72 while his slugging percentage is at .360. The Brewers have 627 hits, including 114 doubles and 125 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 273 times so far this season and they have struck out 685 times as a unit. They have left 508 men on base and have a team OPS of .788. They score 5.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 361 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 35-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.66, Matt Strahm has a 2-6 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 63.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 261 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 301 batters and walked 83 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 626 base knocks and 328 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 181 hitters and struck out 637 batters. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .343. He has 68 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 261 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 112. Eric Hosmer is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 77 hits in 273 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .443. The Padres as a unit have 575 base hits, including 103 doubles and 106 homers. San Diego has walked 202 times this year and they have struck out on 702 occasions. They have had 416 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They have scored 4.38 runs per game and totaled 315 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -130

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink