Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres MLB Betting Tips 5/31/2019

Friday, May 31, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Joey Lucchesi

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (29-27, 2nd in NL West) host the Miami Marlins (19-34, 5th in NL East) at Petco Park on Friday, May 31, 2019. The Marlins open this game at +157 while the Padres are priced at -167. The O/U has been set at 7.

The Marlins have been a bad choice for baseball bettors, having gone 19-34-0 SU. The Padres cover 51.8% of the time, going 29-27-0 straight up. The Padres have been very good for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 15-12-0 SU. Miami has went 19-34-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 35.9% of the time.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a terrible Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 22-29-2.

The Marlins cover 32.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 8-17-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres cover 50.0% of the time at Petco Park, going 14-14-0 SU.

The Padres have been a less than ideal Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 25-28-3.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

5/29/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/28/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/28/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/24/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/11/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
2/19/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

5/29/2019 Jose Pirela LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/29/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/29/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/28/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
5/28/2019 Francisco Mejia C Knee Expected to be out until at least May 31
5/27/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/24/2019 Alex Dickerson LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least May 31
5/22/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least May 31
5/3/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
5/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least May 30
3/28/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
3/27/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
2/19/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 19-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.05 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 72 strikeouts over his 56 innings pitched and he's given up 38 hits. He's allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.20 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 190 hitters and walked 93 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 438 base hits and 236 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 197 batters and struck out 453. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .231, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .338 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Neil Walker is hitting .299 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 44 hits this season in 147 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .449 and an OPS+ of 129. Brian Anderson is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 46 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 195 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .359. The Marlins have 409 hits, including 69 doubles and 39 home runs. Miami has walked 135 times so far this season and they have struck out 464 times as a unit. They have left 353 men on base and have a team OPS of .630. They score 3.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 168 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 29-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Joey Lucchesi has a 3-3 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 55 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 228 batters and walked 65 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 453 base knocks and 221 earned runs this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 141 hitters and struck out 506 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .345. He has 63 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 212 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .467 with an OPS+ of 118. Manny Machado is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 53 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .433. The Padres as a unit have 428 base hits, including 79 doubles and 81 homers. San Diego has walked 144 times this year and they have struck out on 545 occasions. They have had 315 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 3.95 runs per game and totaled 221 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +157

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