Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks 6/28/2019

Friday, June 28, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Sean Reid-Foley

Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (29-52, 4th in AL East) host the Kansas City Royals (28-53, 5th in AL Central) at Rogers Centre on Friday, June 28, 2019. The odds on this matchup have the Royals coming in at -110 and the Blue Jays are at +100. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Royals have been a lousy bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 28-53-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 35.8% of the time, going 29-52-0 straight up. The Royals have been hot and cold for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 5-5-0 SU. Toronto has went 20-41-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 32.8% of the time.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 39-37-5.

Kansas City is covering 30.0% of the time away from home, having gone 12-28-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 34.2% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 13-25-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 40-38-3.

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Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

6/20/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/26/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/26/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/25/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Justin Smoak 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/15/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 28-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 50 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 283 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 272 hitters and walked 119 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 730 base hits and 389 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 289 batters and struck out 627. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .245, good for 20th in the league. The Royals hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Alex Gordon is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 74 hits this season in 281 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .448 and an OPS+ of 109. Whit Merrifield is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 340 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Royals have 671 hits, including 140 doubles and 81 home runs. Kansas City has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 704 times as a unit. They have left 527 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 346 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 29-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.75, Sean Reid-Foley has a 0-1 record and a 2.75 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 6 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 314 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 345 batters and walked 142 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 737 base knocks and 391 earned runs this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 310 hitters and struck out 663 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .302. He has 77 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 292 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 98. Randal Grichuk is hitting .228 this season and he has an OBP of .285. He has collected 70 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .414. The Blue Jays as a unit have 623 base hits, including 123 doubles and 107 homers. Toronto has walked 246 times this year and they have struck out on 750 occasions. They have had 492 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They have scored 4.15 runs per game and totaled 336 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +100

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